Page menu

Thursday, November 7, 2019

Market Update 11/07/19 - Part 2

Picking up where we left off. The $VIX remains elevated (well off the recent lows), so the market is fearful, so I remain fearful.

Getting back to stocks like $BABA (trading in a wave b). That's a little counter-trend rally.
See the wave c target on the chart in part 1 of today's, update. 

Qualcomm: They obviously drove this to a slightly higher high, just in order to squeeze some retail short sellers, but also this look like a  capitulation top in wave 5. They probably think it should trade back to the top of the channel. News Flash; Wave 5 seldom trades to the top of the channel!
Also see my green arrow, where it was driven back above the 2002 high? Read Jim Cramer's new book called, "Getting Back To Even", for more on that trade. So rigged! Even "FAANG" is a scam.
Pump 'n' dump market! 

$SOX - This is a 20 yr chart - we're seeing a little throw-over the top of another triangle. Again pumped above the 2000 high, because hey that's the jester's playbook! Looks bearish as hell. Wish I could add to $SOXS, but I'm already Net short 2 sectors.   

Getting to what's driving Europe, and what's likely going to take it down. Not China Trade, but PIIGS!

Why not make it PFIIGS with a silent P, and include France?! 

Portugal: Totally insolvent, and coming up against resistance at my thin blue line. Of course the world bank can continue to bail them out, with 0% interest, but where does that lead? I think bond traders might know....




FRANCE: Could be a truncated 5th? Anyhow, I don't like the triangle it's traded into, unless it can be confirmed as a bullish continuation pattern. That seems unlikely, no matter how much Macron is willing to suck up to China. See: Europeans look to China as global partner, shun Trump's US

ITALY: 



IRELAND - Sorry I don't have an Ireland Chart.


GREECE: WOW



SPAIN: I'd say, this one looks far worse, than the rest, and if it's going to take out the lower channel, it has a long way to fall.


It's no wonder the bond market, and gold, and the Repo market is blowing up. 

$DJUSFN: Dow Financials. Looks like another throw-over, out the top of an upturned triangle. 


This what it looks like on a 20 year chart. Barely back to even.


That's all I got.

Later,
AA







No comments:

Post a Comment