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Saturday, August 30, 2025

Markets Dumped on Labor Day Friday. Gold rallies to all time highs, + Bitcoin Crypto

 I'll tell you what; the powers that be would've never dumped the market on a Friday, leading into the beginning of Christmas shopping season (Labor Day sales), on Joe Biden's watch. 

 Perhaps there is some really bad news on the way, or it could be that once the 6500 target on the S&P 500 was breached, traders couldn't wait to take profits? Another possibility is that we just saw a quick re-balancing, ahead of Sept. 1st., knowing nobody with half a brain would want to get short ahead of another long weekend.   

Normally, I would call yesterday's market behavior, as "dash for the exits", but you don't see names like Apple being sold, and the $VIX only managed to hit the low 15s. That's low, in case you didn't know.... 

 

What did they sell? 

J. Cramer favorite Marvell $MRVL -18.6% 

 August 16th, 2025 

Jim Cramer on Marvell: "I Want You to Buy More" 

I'll let you decide if Jim Cramer intentionally set the bull trap, but I can tell you that any technical analyst with a valid chart, knew damn well, MRVL was a strong sell...  
 
Marvel Technology $MRVL 3 year DCS chart - see for yourself. 1. The gap (fill) target. 2. The 200 day moving average was sold. 3. The bearish back-test at the lower end of the pattern. Note: Friday's massive selling volume! 
 
 
Investors slaughtered 8/29/25 

What else did they sell? Tesla, and that says a lot about whoever is doing the selling imo    

Here's an interesting take on Tesla $TSLA 

  Published @ benzinga.com 

August 30, 2025 4:33 AM 3 min read

Tesla Stock 'Engineered, Not Earned,' Says Gordon Johnson As Call Buying Surge Drives Put-To-Call Ratio Down

Analyst Claims Options Manipulation Behind Tesla’s Stability

Johnson, an analyst at GLJ Research, alleged on Friday that Tesla’s stock prices are being artificially supported through options market manipulation rather than fundamental performance.

“TSLA isn’t trading on fundamentals – it’s being actively manipulated through the options market,” Johnson wrote on X. “Despite abysmal news, the stock is flat. Why? Someone is aggressively buying calls.”

 I can't help but wonder if Grok (AI) is seeing anything "suspicious" in the options market? 

Bezinga may have some credibility among the trading community, but I subscribe to the theory that it's best to, "believe none of what you hear, and only half of what you see", and especially when it comes to the financial networks.

They also sold NVDIA $NVDA with Semiconductors, of course, and I kinda saw that coming...

 

What DIDN'T they sell? Google (trading at new highs), Apple, and Microsoft (only down -.5%) 

The talking heads in lame stream media, will tell you stories about seasonality and Sept. being one of the worst months, but for now this looks more like a continuation of the Mag7 balancing act we've seen over the past several years, rather than any kind of serious correction. 

Gold 

 Gold managed to eek out a slightly higher high, driving precious metals miners towards our target. 

 So it's the same MO: Rotate into Gold miners, or Crypto, or Natural Gas, while trashing tech, and whatever else the retail investor has been investing in. It's a racket. 

Speaking of Crypto: After Friday's close CNBC Fast Money was seen reporting the, "new all time highs, and what an incredible run it's been, but those kinds of false statements are juxtaposed to what I'm seeing in the charts.

 Bitcoin $BTC Labor Day Weekend - sure the run from April was pretty incredible, but the slightly higher new highs have since vanished.

 


Bitcoin is currently back-testing the previous high (@ 108k) we saw around Memorial Day, and if that support breaks, I suspect all hell could break loose, in the heavily pumped Crypto space. 

 And I suspect the final outcome will be far worse for the likes of Ethereum $ETH

 It looks like the 2X Ether bear ETFs are already breaking out, but trading these funds are not for the faint of heart. 

 

 Take Care, 

AA  

 

 

 

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Thursday, August 28, 2025

The Market Rally Continues into Labor Day. NVIDIA $NVDA, SnowFlake, Gold Silver Miners, Small Caps, Energy, Natural Gas, Labor Day

 If you think markets aren't rallying, you just don't know where to look. 

Small Caps 

Russell 2000 Small Caps are poised to open higher 

 Pointed to that breakout yesterday (Wed.) 

Energy

The stealth rally in Energy seems to have paused 

Natural Gas 

We caught a nice pop in Natural Gas at yesterdays open 

 $BOIL (2x Pro NatGas) closed +2.85% 


 

$SNOW (SnowFlake) We're seeing short squeeze in this junk tech (AI) name this morning - trading back at the $220, last I checked.

 



SnowFlake is undoubtedly being used to help hold the $QQQ up, but I can't reveal that chart.  

$GLD Paper Gold  

 Yesterday, I revealed that the $GLD is also being held above support, just as tech was held up into the end of 2021, so that profit taking could be delayed until 2022. 

 Precious Metals/ Miners 

 Gold & Silver miners took a pause yesterday, but will probably continue to rally, which is typical heading into a long holiday 

$XAU (Gold $ Silver Index) - I'm expecting to see a blow off top throw-over the top of the channel

 


NVIDIA $NVDA It looks like I got NVIDIA right, but I wouldn't expect anyone is willing to go short, heading into a long holiday. 

Overall the market is pretty dull, as the $VIX trading below 15 would suggest.  

Take Care and have a great Memorial Day, 

AA  

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Sunday, August 24, 2025

Weekend Update Stocks Crypto Precious Metals Gold Silver Market Breaks Out to New ALL TIME HIGHS

Markets rallied to new all time highs on Friday, or at least certain parts of the market did. 

Precious metals miners made several new highs last week

$DJGSP (Dow Jones Precious Metals Index) tweeted 

 

The NASDAQ, and Mag7 stocks DID NOT make new highs, and the fact that $NVDA was throttled first thing in the morning with a suspiciously timed press release.

Tech is trading at basically the same level is was on July 4th 

 


  I think there's a good chance we see tech taken down on or even ahead of NVIDIA earnings. 

 $TECS 3X Tech bear 


 

Technically the $SPX didn't make a new all time high, but that didn't stop the hedge funds internet trolls from rubbing salt in the wounds, for anyone who was dumb enough to go short into Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech - more on that in a moment. 

Here I am raining on their parade on Saturday morning:

Funny that the $SPY (the heavily traded S&P 500 ETF) managed to barely touch a new high, yet the $SPX itself didn't....  

Something that I found even more interesting was that the $NYSE (a better measure of the broader market than the $SPX) actually did breakout to new highs!  

The Dow Jones Industrial Average broke out to a slightly higher high, and Trump was seen taking credit for it, but the Dow isn't a good measure of the broader market. 

I think the $SPX can close at a fresh high on Monday, and you'll find this 5 minute chart view pinned to the top of my X (formerly twitter) page view.

Of course I saw this rally coming from a mile away     

I even went out of my way to try to warn the market bears in early August, to try to stay on the right side of the trade, and I even provided charts. 

Trump Headlines Continue to Drive Market Direction: Precious Metals Gold Silver Miners, Crypto, and Tech Stocks - my take

The Bear Trap  

As recently as Wed. of last week Bloomberg and CNBC were both seen reporting a "5 day losing streak", and CNBC Fast Money even went a step further calling it, "the worst selloff since January", a total lie. 

Here I am trolling that clown car show: 

Here's a little secret: If you check a $NYSE chart, you'll find that the market hardly pulled back at all. 

So how did they pull the $SPX down...? 

Wall Street slips as Walmart helps pull S&P 500 to another loss daytondailynews.com 


After all is said and done: It was certainly a good trading day as buying programs were triggered by hurdreds of news reports stating that Powell has opened the door for a Sept. rate cut.

In case you didn't know it, buying programs are programmed to trigger buy orders on certain keywords or phrases such as "Powell rate cut Sept.", for instance.  

In truth Powell didn't say much about timing, or certainty, but facts don't matter when trading in this type of environment. 

Ethereum rallied 14% to retest the recent highs, and solar stocks ended higher.     

 Take Care, AA 


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Sunday, August 17, 2025

Meme Stock Trades; Pump And Dump Stocks By Another Name

The dash for trash continued on Friday August Options Expiration with Clean Energy stocks. 

I alerted to the rally in green energy on the 13th, but it took a little time to put it all together  

 I could only find one outlet covering it, but this time it wasn't the WSJ. 

Clean Energy Stocks Keep Rallying barroncom 

They say a picture says a thousand words:   

Sunrun ($RUN) +32.82%  - Sunrun - along with several other solar names - was run up into August Options expiration for a big payday, for the crooked Hedgefunds.   




 

Pump-and-Dump: Definition, How the Scheme is Illegal, and Types investopedia.com 

Last week it was Pot Stocks 

 

$CNBS  (Amplify Seymour (Tim) Cannabis ETF) 


 

$MSOS (AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF) you'll find this one was heavily pumped on social media, before we saw a little run for the exits, heading into Friday's close.

 

 Pump-and-dump schemes generally target micro- and small-cap stocks on over-the-counter exchanges that are less regulated than traditional exchanges. Micro-cap stocks—and occasionally, small-cap stocks—are favored for this type of abusive activity because they are easier to manipulate.2 Micro-cap stocks generally have a small float, low trading volumes, and limited corporate information. As a result, it does not take a lot of new buyers to push a stock much higher.

 

Pump and dump schemes are nothing new but Crypto has added fuel to the fire  

 A study conducted in 2018 examined the prevalence of pump-and-dump schemes in the cryptocurrency market. Researchers identified more than 3,400 such schemes over the course of just six months observing two group-messaging platforms popular with cryptocurrency investors.

 

This illegal scam has really accelerated over the past few year, with meme trading, and meme coins.

Even the Trump family seems to be getting in on the action  

$TRUMP coin is pumped to $100 and dumped. Today we see it trading down around 90%. 

 

I've been keeping a running list of Pump n Dump Stock. Of course we've seen this playbook before, but not on this scale. 

I'm convinced that this trend has helping fuel speculative animal instincts in the AI sector, and buy the dip mentality we've seen in the broader market over the past several months, even years.

A New Generation of ‘Buy the Dip’ Investors Is Propping Up the Market wsj.com msn.com

For many Wall Streets pros, this is yet another sign of froth at a time when stocks, especially the biggest tech names, are historically expensive. The meme-stock trades are rekindling memories of the dot-com boom.

 

Meme-stocks is just a cutesie name the hedge funds decided to give the ol' pump 'n' dump, and I don't believe for a minute that retail investors are "propping up the market".  
 
Beware of falling knives, like the one we saw in pot stocks on Friday 
 
The vast majority of new traders are of the "buy and hold" variety, and the inevitable unwind, may ultimately wipe out an entire generation of investors, just as we saw during the .com crash. 
 
 
Take care, AA  

 

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