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Thursday, July 2, 2026

The Q2 Stealth Bear Raid No One’s Talking About (Until Now)

 Army ants crushed overnight 

The talking heads continue to push the AI fear porn, but they waited until they'd finished window dressing the quarter (practically to the hour) to unleash their latest bear raid. Tuesday's blog reads like a crystal ball: "$VIX still lurking in the danger zone with the strong possibility of a rebalance, ahead of Q2 earnings — stay nimble" [link].

The only thing that surprises me is how they are able to keep markets balanced on the head of a pin. 

The market magicians are getting more creative   

  • The two day rally in tech is cut short, while Financials broke out to new recent highs, but here's a new one: 
  • Commercial Services (micro-sector) - never heard of it? You're not alone. leads a stealth rally. I even turned to AI in order to get a handle on the action, but AI hallucinates a lot: "Why Traders Watch It". My response:  If "traders watched it", I would actually know all there is to know about it after trading for 15 years. I watch everything, and I've never even heard of it. Grok response: Fair point: It's a granular sub-industry group (under Industrials → Commercial & Professional Services → Commercial Services & Supplies in GICS).", whatever the fuck that means. GICS (dkdk)? I better start including the prompt "explain it to me like I'm an idiot" - next time.... 😂

Translation: It's just another sub sector to pump, when nobody is watching.
Today's trade? All eyes seems to be on the jobs number data - set to drop in 30 min. I suspect that could set up for a shortsqueeze in certain sectors, theta burn in others. 
Gentlemen start your barbeques! 


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Tuesday, June 30, 2026

Record Dow Highs Mask Another Dash for Trash (Honeywell Edition)


While the talking heads are crying wolf on AI valuation, and getting squeezed out of their semiconductor shorts again — $SOX ripped +6% off the lows in a midday reversal (Fast Money panic-buying semis, much?) — we were busy ringing the register after another rip-roaring, manic Monday. 


Sell the rip continues to be the winning strategy in a market that whipsaws into another slightly higher high, only to have the run pulled every other day. "Buy and hold is dead." 

Latest victim of the industrial sector pump $HON Honeywell: Downturned triangle pattern - From breakout to fake out, followed by a  mid-day flash crash. Trading back below 2024 levels (ouch).   

 $HON chart is a perfect example of why I'm only 60% invested, and every 2% rally gets a hair trigger. 

Final breakdown on Industrials: Google, $CAT, $UNH all held the spotlight, as Honeywell flash crashed. 

Best Performer $SOX Semiconductors - They tried to take $SOX lower, and learned not to mess with the bull Rallying +6% off the lows of the session — that's why they call themselves "Fast Money." Panic buying! 😂

I saw a not-so-nice story floating around the internet about price fixing in S. Korea, which seems to lack one important thing — a single shred of evidence: 

And yet another negative story about Apple margins (creative!):  


Sounds pretty dire right? Keep covering those shorts 😂

More Bull Market Highlights (sense the sarcasm) 

The Dash For Trash For Bottom Of the Barrel Losers Gains Steam  

Click on the above thread to find other pump n dump fav $RBLX Roblox. 
Short squeeze targets also included Comcast, as well as a short squeeze in heavily pummeled $MSTR.   

Meanwhile: the $VIX is still lurking in the danger zone with the strong possibility of a final rebalance, ahead of Q2 earnings ahead — stay nimble.

Good Luck, and have a happy and safe 4th of July 

AA

P.S. MSM is more focused on Lisa Cook than the absurdity actually unfolding in the tape.



P.P.S. Are the talking heads celebrating America's 250th anniversary? Not so much. 🐩💩 (final rant) 



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