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Saturday, June 27, 2026

Stealth Rallies NOT to Chase + The Sector Rotation You Can’t Afford To Miss

While a host of media personalities and financial gurus put on a bear parade across several financial networks last week — trying to convince you that the rally in semiconductors is over, parroting the same old 'capex is unsustainable' line they ran back in February — there was a fierce arcade game going on under the surface.

Latest Stealth Rallies We Don't Want To Chase 


Sectors I monitor, and mostly make fun of: See my signature poodle shit avatar inserts on the tweet:  

If you follow the troll chatter on the X  platform, as closely as I do, then you may have seen the FURUs' (Fake Guru acronym)  pushing Home Builders, Airlines, and Healthcare/ Biotech.  

Perfect Example 👇   Vague weekly charts, bold claims, discord room (all the telltale signs of a con).    


One of the trades the spammers don't mention: Insurance Companies - lifted by healthcare (trading on Medicare increase fumes)  

$KIE (SPDR S&P Insurance ETF) Rising Tide Lifts All Ships, or at least makes them whipsaw in a range. Perhaps this the "broadening out" I keep hearing about!     

stockcharts.com

I watched CNBC Fast Money highlight some of the same whac-a-mole trades in micro-sectors, on Friday, and I thought, "well isn't that ironic...". Look if you're going to call yourselves "Fast Money", then stop blowing smoke about Transports lifting industrials in a broadening out economy, while simultaneously casting shade on the most explosive rally since gold miners - Semiconductors stocks.  

Of course I've been scoping the action in these whac-a-mole sector trades, but these are a distraction from reality. Tech drives this market like nothing else, and everything else is an unwanted distraction. 

The same "broadening out into Industrials that you see Tim Seymour (CNBC) pushing you can find being pushed by the troll army on twitter. 

FURU #1 

Truth is the Dow Jones is not breaking out to new highs. 

FURU #2 

At least he mentioned that industrials were "well off the HOD" 

FURU #3  to highlight the fuckery: Claim that AI FOMO driven Cat & Deere are just normal industrial plays. This is straight from the Seymour playbook!  

$XLI Chart - I had to draw this one up fresh, because I don't trade "industrials". I don't chase mirages either. Pattern looks like a range, with a slight overshoot. Blow-off top? You decide.   


Pro Tip: When you see the magicians all pointing to the same cup game, run in the other direction.  



Where's the Real Sector Rotation About to Take Place? Into The Only Sector That Actually Matters 

No, not Airlines - the QQQ's - lead by BIG TECH (aka "the hyperscalers").

Same $QQQ Every money manager on Wall Street wants to own, even when they tell you (the retail investor) that it's too expensive. CapEx worries! yeah right 😂

Landed Right on the 50 day SMA on Friday - triggering the Algos. Machine buying.


stockcharts.com


Reminder: Another Bullish Setup We're Still Watching:

$XLC (State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF). Takes out the secondary pullback target I pointed to in the blog dated June 9th. [link] "The chart speaks for itself. #1 Holding $META. #2 & #3 Holdings Google/Alphabet. You should be seeing a pattern: a rotation out of $AAPL, into one or more of the other Mag7 market drivers. Pro-tip: Sideways patterns like this are notorious for plenty of head-fakes, so don't bet the farm all at once. If it drops to 107 add.." And here we are! Watch for a Breakout in Sunday evening futures. Missed the boat? Chase it.

Updated Chart


Good Luck, and have a happy and safe 4th of July 

AA

Wednesday, June 24, 2026

The AI Bubble Pop - The MSM Tried to Cover It Up

The Smoke and Mirrors MSM Really Outdid Themselves This Time 

As Tuesday's crash in Asian semiconductor stocks spilled over into global markets - forced selling spilled over into everything from Metals/Gold, to Mag7... even Tim Seymour pot stocks (-3%). 😂  

First The Setup: 

Breadth of Fresh Air? Not So Fast [link to Monday's blog]


You want to know who's stock market is really soaring? Pull up a NIKKEI, or S. Korea chart. 

The Final Warning: I sounded the final warning after watching a certain (unnamed) Bloomberg host, bring on some grease ball to suggest the retail investor should chase Taiwan Semiconductor. 

The Very Next Day (overnight actually):  

It took nearly 30 minutes to find any credible information as I woke up to Nasdaq futures -3%. 

First Series of Tweets: 

4:15AM. Second cup. Flipping between Bloomberg - covering oil like any other day at the office - and whatever Fox Business runs at that hour — turns out it's the weather. Apparently financial news doesn't start until banker's hours. CNN wasn't even on my radar — I save them for actual emergencies, and even then it's a coin flip.

Then Vonnie Quinn, mid-commercial break, drops it like a footnote: "...the KOSPI is down ten percent." Eight second clip. Back to commercials.

That's when I high-fived the wife. "We're net short semis, honey" 

This is what it's come to: Reporting straight up lies about a sell off in Big Tech, instead of the unwind in chip stocks in Asia. 

Semiconductor stocks hit a record-breaking 18.8% of the entire S&P 500's market capitalization, putting them right around your 19% figure. Source: AI Overview (Google)

MSM immediately pointed to the rout in "Big Tech", and the SpaceX unwind, as the cause of the overnight unwind. They must think/ know retail is stupid. 

The charts don't lie. $MAGS (mag7 ETF) retests the recent low, still trading in the same range. Call it a bearish H&S if you like, but what we saw yesterday was a retest of the bottom of the recent lows. The same sideways slop I warned you about in Monday's perfectly timed masterpiece. 
$MAGS Mag7 ETF

CNBC was reading from the same script Monday evening: Pointing to Monday's lousy action (the day after a 7% move on the $SOX (June *OPEX runoff) "a great day for markets", as a sign of the broadening out... also Pointing to $CAT (after it kissed the $1000 level). 

Caterpillar Chart

I couldn't help but mock...: 
I don't know what their motivation is to spin the market, but I suspect they know that once AI leadership comes to an end, and the American people wake up, it's game over/ lights out. 


Speaking of MSM coverups: Turns out every network was paid to push the experimental covid vaccine. 

P.S. Paid to lie…and crickets on recent FDA COVID vax revelations. Media complicity is an understatement. https://t.co/PJtlMr5pgE

 Grok/AI confirms (but when prompted to give a straight answer...)

Yes, it's largely true.

The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) ran a "We Can Do This" public education/PR campaign costing over $900 million in taxpayer funds (sometimes cited near $1 billion total for related efforts). This included paid advertising on major networks like ABC, CBS, NBC, Fox News, CNN, and MSNBC, plus print and digital outlets, to promote COVID-19 vaccines and boosters.
Those who claim to give it to you straight, and keeping the government in check are actually being paid under the table. One can only imagine what else they're hiding.
Is it any wonder the wholly unchecked Healthcare system is wrought with Fraud. Create the problem; offer the solution.