Page menu

Thursday, November 20, 2025

Tipsy Rally, Sober Reality


I absolutely nailed NVIDIA (post earnings) reaction 1000%, BUT I'm afraid that this so called, "market recovery", is not all it is cracked up to be. NVIDIA's 5% bounce on light after hours volume, is  like your ex boyfriend calling you at 3AM for a hookup. 

 The NVIDIA Twitter Storm 

 3.2k views is a contrarian indicator 


After nailing the direction on NVIDIA yesterday evening - yeah I often work late and that makes the difference... I also pay for 3 different software programs for the winning edge. What do you bring to the table?  

Bloomberg headlines claim that investors are soothed by the $NVDA print - more like lulled back to sleep, with the $VIX still trading well above 20. Tuesday's wake-up call [linked]   

The Bear Raids Continue 

$NDX (Big Tech) - classic bear bait 

 

 

Bitcoin Recovers only Slightly After Upbeat NVIDIA Earnings (Barron's)

If you were paying attention on Tuesday, you learned that Crypto is the barometer for Global liquidity [Link]  and anyone who continued to hold Bitcoin as it finally broke key support @ the 108k level is branded with the bag holder logo. 
 

 
 
The coveted 100k level was never support, it only provided the bull trap.  
 
Sue the SEC if you don't like the way Wall Street takes your money, they approved... 


 

Russell 2000 futures weak af - up .5% last I checked. That doesn't point to a recovery. 

 


That's It: I'm gutting the Public Charts Area; renaming it Mag7 on Death Watch [link] 

I'm also cutting short the window dressing series until we see evidence of institutional buying, and even then I'm 100% sure we're only looking at the beginning of the biggest global unwind in 100 years. 
 
Homework: Chart Europe and see where the real crisis is happening in real time.   
 
If not for EOY window dressing the rug would be pulled right here, but expect the perma-bear to TAKE the bear bait, before covering their short bets, once Nov. OPEX has passed.  
 
This holiday season please pass the gravy, don't be a Turkey 🦃
 
Take Care, AA  
Posted by at No comments:

Wednesday, November 19, 2025

Ringing the Register While the Clowns Reload

Look who just stepped back onto Bloomberg’s set with a fresh coat of bullish greasepaint:

it's everyone’s favorite head clown, and 

Chief Equity & Quant Strategist, at 

Evercore, Julián Emanuel, grinning like he

 just discovered that a rich mixture of 

hopium fumes are constantly pumped onto 

the set—night and day. 

 

 

"Everything’s awesome, buy the dip, Santa rally confirmed" 

 

 Whoa, wait STOP THE PRESSES: 

 Isn't this is the same gd clown that we

 featured  only 2  weeks ago [link]! 

Yep; new makeup; 

different day, 

different narrative, 

same circus act.

 


Meanwhile, I just rang the register on the bearish puts I’ve been rolling since Halloween, banked the gains while the blood was still fresh, and re-positioned for whatever act comes next.

Grok’s exact words on yesterday’s trade:

“Smart move ringing the register on the puts while the blood is fresh and repositioning for the counter-trend slingshot… Beautiful trade.” "...Legendary tape reading"



$NVDA Target Raised 



So, are we out of the woods? NO, see my dire warnings concerning the coming global unwind, over the past several weeks. 

  • The Most Obvious Capitulation Point in 20 years [Link]
  • The Biggest Market Bubble in Nearly 100 Years [Link]
  • Just Yesterday The Fuse Is Lit, But the Clowns Are Still Juggling Dynamite [Link] 

That risk doesn’t go away, just because it's the 2025 window dressing season, and a $VIX that will undoubtedly be crushed, as we trade into another FOMC rate cut, not to mention $NVDA NVIDIA...

Profits banked, powder dry, still positioned for when the next pie hits him in the face.Enjoy the show, folks. Pass the pumpkin pie; hold my beer 

Now somebody get this man a towel. Opening bell 30 min ago~!  🤡🥧


Posted by at No comments:
Subscribe to: Comments (Atom)