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Friday, February 13, 2026

Covering Yesterday's Bloodbath Going to Plan b

BROADER MARKET REMAINS PARALYZED AS INVESTMENT CAPITAL CONTINUES TO FLEE THE US  - this was going to be the title - and I have plenty of evidence to prove it - but we don't have time for that. CPI data is set to drop on a Friday, ahead of a 3 day weekend. 

 Going to Plan b and in this case "b" stands to "bullish".  Traders only want one thing: "BUY NOW”, and I'm your huckleberry lol That's right laugh off yesterday's bloodbath. and put your bull hats on.

1. Ignore the news cycle. Financial MSM is straight-up gaslighting. Watch the spin cycle:

  • AI fears send software stocks crashing (check)

  • Monday guests: "Selling was overdone!" (naturally)

  • Financials puke on the same AI panic... but crickets. (Unwritten rule: protect the banks at all costs)

  • Yesterday's bloodbath? "AI fears again." Cue the screaming buy charts on tech.

  • Rinse. Repeat.

It's like they're deaf, dumb, & blind, except for the constant word salad...

2. Ignore my bearish tweets (example provided below)

3. Pay Attention To The Charts

  • -$ARKK the trade I offered last week is still in play 
  • Yesterday's bullish call (highlighted in the embedded tweet below)
  • Any tech ETF should do $TQQQ

Out of time 

P.S. If you don't like stocks, and you can afford the risk tolerance, Silver bounces out of the hole 




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Sunday, February 8, 2026

Dow Smashes 50,000 – No One Cares - Trump Predicts Dow 100,000

Boy, it was tough sledding out there last week—on again, off again, on again—  Friday's monster rally managed to put me back in the black, and therein lies the reason none of us can get too excited about this Dow 50k anomaly.  

Who cares? None, ok 1 like (prolly a bot) 🙄 

Damn Right "Something Feels Off" 

  • Negative Headlines Dominate  
  • Tech/ AI/ Crypto Crashing   
  • Small Caps, Consumer Staples, Healthcare, Energy leading the charge

Looking Past the Rotation & Breadth Mirage 16% of S&P stocks trading at 52-week highs amid new index records? Huge red flag! Hindenburg Omen Red     

Ominous 'Hindenburg Omen' spotted in U.S. stock market. It could signal more pain ahead for investors (morningstar.com)

The Hindenburg Omen highlights the broken state of the market. Not "broadening", not "bifurcated", broken—entirely. 

And the MSM Spinning Harder Than Ever: 

1. Barron's Roundtable Saturday: some perma-bullish fool started the show off by pointing to Dow 50k; trying to downplay Mag7 stocks, while pointing to "the massive rally we've seen in $MMM" (3 F-ing M), while ignoring the fact that it was MAG7 darling $NVDA NVIDIA, that did most the heavy lifting on Friday +7%.    

#1 Gainer on the Dow $NVDA NVIDIA +7.872% 

Friday's read that blasts a hole in the broadening out narrative

2. Fox News' Maria Bartiromo hosts Scott Bessant  

Bartiromo tees up Trump's latest: "Dow to 100,000 before term's end—guaranteed boom!"
Bessent jumps in: "Absolutely, Maria—100k is conservative. Look at the momentum: Russell 2000 small caps are leading this market, and from my 40 years experience in this market this is proof that the economy is in fantastic shape."
  • Trump predicts Dow 100k. Yeah, more gaslighting.
  • Bessent doubles down on Russell leading as "proof" of a roaring economy. Laughable.
  • I have a bridge in Chicago to sell if anybody's interested—call me!
Holes everywhere: Russell's pop is pure Fed-cut hopes FOMO (88% odds of March 25bp cut, up sharply on Trump's "fix the Fed" threats), not Main Street magic. 
Grok/ AI confirms: "Small caps are debt-loaded and rate-sensitive—cheap money bets". 

$INDU (Dow Jones Industrial Average) Nice clean view shows the Dow trading in the same range it's been trading in, since the April Fools '25 shake-out. 
It still has room to run, the chart is accurate, and self explanatory. 

Dow breaks out above 50k 

$ARKK (ARK Innovation) ETF, the fund I highlighted last week, was up 6% on Friday, and looks like it could continue to breakout as soon as Monday morning. 

Final Warning 

As I alluded to earlier, the $VIX was manipulated (hammered down in order to trap the bears on Friday), yet it continues to trade in the danger zone. Stay nimble out there. 

 P.S. Super Bowl LX today: Seahawks (NFC) vs. Patriots (AFC). If the old Super Bowl Indicator holds (NFC Seahawks win = stocks up for the year), maybe we're headed to Trump's 100k after all. If AFC takes it... well, enjoy the picnic while it lasts. Either way, charts over crystal balls (and over football). BTW I'm betting on the underdog; always the contrarian. 


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Tuesday, February 3, 2026

Latest Stealth Rally Lifts the Dow... But Transports Are Still Trapped in 2021

I called it a boomer trap yesterday, because real traders don't pay much attention to the Dow. 

Led by the - not very sexy - Dow Transports  

Of course there's a 3X $TRAN play that could spice things up, but I don't recommend chasing this clown car. And I promise I'm not going to waste much time reviewing this lousy trade; BUT please keep reading, because there's a BIG PAY-OFF at the end...  

Southwest Airlines ($LUV) +4.46% yesterday - What's not to Luv? Lots... thanks, no thanks! I'm not even going to bother to update the chart. See it for yourself   👇

$LUV From my Junk Folder 
United Parcel Service ($UPS) 🙄 Didn't I tell you we were about to see the annual dash for trash trade gain steam? Yes, just yesterday...! [link] 

Not From My Junk Folder But Should Be... 

Old Dominion Freight Line ($ODFL) The least sexy of all; I warned you this would be boring. Landstar Systems (LSTR), Ryder (R), both 6% higher. No more please, I promise! 
Read more »
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Sunday, February 1, 2026

Wake-up Call after Friday's Precious Metals Crash (Gold, Silver, Platinum)

Friday's action should certainly be a wake-up call for the gold & silver bugs. A textbook lesson in capitulation, as I covered on Friday [link]:

  • Euphoric FOMO chasing/ retail short covering (Thursday)  
  • Catastrophic rug pull, the very next morning (in futures markets). 
  • Metals— still too hot to touch 
  • Once the dust settles, you're likely to see a lot of sideways action.

Look, if you're still trapped in your gold trade, then this may be an opportune time to lick your wounds, reassess your trading strategy, and live to trade another day. The market doesn't care about your love for gold. 

Oct. 2025 I called, "Gold, the biggest bubble we've seen in over 50 years" (confirmed by Grok/AI) [link]. But Friday was just a pin prick. A massive one day drop, but not an implosion. If this were a black swan event, all the charts would be broken, and that's simply just not the case. Today Precious metals remain in a massive overbought bubble, along with several other markets, but I suspect the implosion won't come until later in the year, if at all.  

Lately the market is afraid of its own shadow, hiding in sectors that don't make any sense. Fearing the US Dollar (really). Hiding in basic materials, oil, gold, silver, utilities? I call these chicken-shit trades, because this is where scared investors like to hide, when they hear scary Trump headlines being read off the teleprompter.  

Where Else are the Chickens Hiding?  

$UTY Utilities - Trading in an apparent wave 4 triangle. Short it into an extended wave 5. There's some advice you'll never hear on CNBC Fast Money.


I mentioned Elliott Waves in the previous blog, and perhaps I misspoke when I said EW patterns no longer work, yet the Utilities chart is trading in a textbook bearish wave 4 triangle pattern, and that's because it's not being endlessly pumped and dumped like so many other sectors. It's trading on emotion, rather than adrenaline.

Do you know who's not scared, and not hiding in gold & Silver?

Enter: Cathie Wood of Ark Invest 

many sources


Don't laugh - Wall Street picks the winners and losers not me... no coincidences. see the chart below:

$ARKK Ark Innovation ETF - Bullish (higher lows/higher highs),  Getting ready to test the 200 day SMA 

Good News is that as more and more speculative traders are wiped out (gold, silver, crypto, energy), the Investor Intelligence barometer continues to rise, and that brings with it better trading opportunities, but we're going to see continued sector rotations continue to be used to help lift markets. From Gold, into Crypto, and back into Mag7 again.  

Now that there's plenty of cash sitting on the sidelines, it's ready to be put to work in beaten up value names that have been selling off for months. in the annual dash for trash, where value is meaningless, and Fed intervention - and new creative ways of stimulating the economy (eg baby welfare cash injections) is everything.   

Buy American, buy the dip.

P.S.

I'm not going to name any names, but the same people who were telling you to chase the rally in metals, and miners, have recently been spotted deleting their bullish tweets, and selectively editing their podcasts. This is a dirty business. Conversely:   

 P.P.S. Brace yourselves: This From reddit 

Young Cathie Wood pictures are not priced into ARKK. Bullish! [link]
Young Cathie Wood - posed on reddit


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Friday, January 30, 2026

Gold/Silver Flash Crash, Nasdaq Tumbles -2% ($MSFT -12%), Tesla Bounces Out of the Pocket

Let’s start with the precious metals circus, because it was almost comical yesterday. No sooner than I called it a "speculative bubble" - in yesterday's update [link] - gold and silver straight-up flash-crashed like it owed someone money. 
I also warned about the bagholder risk in the $SPX, and when the music suddenly stopped traders who were relying on the 15 min chart for support suddenly had the rug pulled. Is short term support broken? Damn right it is! I’m not pounding my chest here, but the timing lined up nicely. No dollar collapse, no hyperinflation trigger – just a classic speculative unwind. I was posting the real-time laughs as it unfolded:Peter Schiff has since deleted that tweet, but his legacy lived on😅


Update on Silver this morning:  I jest but this trading the way it's meant to be! 
Then, right on schedule, almost immediately - 1 hour later - the dip buyers piled in and prices snapped right back, with Gold futures actually making new highs, and the Dow closing nearly UNCH. Nothing suspicious about that bounce at all (sarcastic), although it is textbook wave 2 behavior in Elliott Wave terms: sharp selloff, panic, then reflexive FOMO covering and dip-buying that sucks everyone back in thinking it’s “healthy.” Sure, most of what you learned in old-school Elliott Wave circle-jerks (mostly hog-wash) strict rules and guidelines, and bearish patterns that no longer work like they did, pre-algos, pre QE infinity, pre-PPT (plunge protection team), but the one thing never changes: human nature. The meat puppets still FOMO buy every dip like it’s going out of style. And that brings me to the broader market.
Yesterday’s open was brutal across the board – Nasdaq down -2%, led by Microsoft getting absolutely scorched -12% (worst day since the Covid crash). 
Futures are soft again this morning, with some headlines blaming “Trump's pick for new Fed puppet”, or Apple, but I think it's just a little wobbly, after yesterday's chaos. 
$SPX update: The 15-minute chart we were watching cracked almost instantaneously, triggering the initial spill. Seeing more weakness this morning, but yesterday's low becomes key support. I have a good idea where I think the $SPX is going over the next few months, but I'm not showing my hand, as usual. Directly from the 3xtraders playbook: "Loose lips sink ships".  
Bright spot: Tesla ($TSLA) - the one they love to hate 😅
Bouncing out of the pocket I highlighted, near the lower end of the range. Boring, right? I still like it here short-term. Longer-term, though, don’t sleep on that bigger topping pattern from yesterday’s blog – and all the xAI/SpaceX merger chatter feels more like desperation than creative expansion. The latest $XOM sold on good news. This seems to be the new trend looking at Apple as well. 


 Stay sharp out there – volatility is serving up plenty of opportunities, as well as plenty of traps.
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Thursday, January 29, 2026

PsyOps Alert: $USD Dip, Silver Rug, Trump Accounts Timing, Tesla H&S

I'd probably get more clicks if I was forecasting $10,000 Gold, but I'm not laying any clickbait landmines today. Today's Topics Include several MSM PsyOps: 

Technical Tuesday: Highly Publicized US Dollar "Crash" (I'm not calling it that, the MSM is..)  

Wednesday: SPX kisses the 7000 level, where it's immediately sold. Why?  

The Fed stands pat removing the, "downside risk to the Jobs market", phrasing (that's Hawkish).  

Trump holds a "Summit" (more like a ceremony) to launch his baby welfare program (aka Trump Accounts) -on the same day the FOMC rendered their decision NOT to lower interest rates—mind you.       

Some economists view it as fiscal stimulus (~$1K per eligible newborn, potentially $16B total), as per Grok/AI

My Take on That Trump PsyOp 

The timing of the Trump accounts ceremony, coincided with the fed decision to not lower the lending rate, is being used as an excuse to inject money into the failing financial system, when the Fed refuses... If it wasn't hidden in plain sight, and highly publicized, I might call it "covert".

The program doesn't even start until July, 4th, so why is my timeline being flooded with this news this morning? 

Trump Accounts Give Newborns $1,000 Stock Market Seed 

Translation we're set to juice the stock market right here, at the all time highs 

Funny I don't remember voting for socialism in the form of baby welfare 😠 

The Dollar Crash and the Silver PsyOp 

7 days ago - Jim Cramer pumps "best" silver miner—Considers Pan American Silver the “Best Silver Mining Company” [link]

3 days later: Jim Cramer slams 'ridiculous' silver rally 

Same evening: CNBC Fast Money chart master calls Silver a "sell" (short).

Sounds like the same folks who helped drive metals into a speculative bubble, are ready to raise some much needed cash, just ahead of (tech) earnings season. Question is, will we see an even bigger cash raise, now that retail investors have their hearts set on the $SPX 7000 target? In other words; are investors going to be left holding the bag, as I warned in the previous blog [link]  These rug-pulls aren't isolated—watch for similar setups in big tech as earnings ramp.


All I can tell you is to continue to trust the 15 minute chart, for as long as it keeps working.  
 Tesla reported yesterday, and what better stocks to highlight in today's blog. It continues to trade below it's 2024 highs, trading in a bearish head & shoulders pattern. There's also a nested H&S pattern within the larger pattern. 
I don't like stocks that consolidate in the top of the range for a year, and especially this one trading at the same level it was a year ago. 
Bear Case Exhibit A: 
$TSLA (Tesla) Bearish Head & Shoulders Pattern (s) highlighted 

Market seems to be more concerned with driving $META higher - another name to watch. 
 Take care, AA 


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Sunday, January 25, 2026

Trump Latest Tariff Tirade Canada + FOMC in the Spotlight

Trump's back at it again-threatening our top oil supplier, Canada, with crippling 100% tariffs unless they ditch the deal they made with China⸺week before last.
Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Prime Minister Carney forges new strategic partnership with the People’s Republic of China focused on energy, agri-food, and trade" [link]

First question: why this, why now? Not sure what Trump has up his sleeve this time, but my thoughts include:   
  • This is an attempt to pivot away from the 24/7 media coverage of the civil unrest at home (in Minnesota)? 

    Latest deadly shooting by federal agents pushes government closer to shutdown (fortune.com)

  • Attempting to help Elon, by cutting China out of the already failing EV market? 
  • Is Trump trying to put a halt on the, "Sell America"/ invest in Europe, trade? If so, this may only be the beginning, of things to come. Remember: Macron is literally in Beijing right now begging Xi to buy more overpriced Bordeaux and Airbus parts so France doesn’t implode first. [link] 

Dow Jones Futures: Trump Threatens 100% Canada Tariff, Government Shutdown Risks Spike; Earnings Wave Looms (Investors.com)



Possible Trades on The Latest Trump Bluster 

Crude Oil/ Energy 

We've already seen oil breakout several times, ahead of this news - probably on government insider trading (totally legal) -  but I think we could see a spike in Sunday futures, as the algos are triggered.  
 $USO (US Oil) DCS chart - shows a gap left behind on Friday, and several possible upside targets.  

US Oil Chart 


On Top of All This The Fed Renders Their Decision This Week 


The next FOMC announcement is in the spotlight, and barring a rate hike or talk of a rate hike (probability .02%) the market is going to take it as an all clear to window dress the end of the month. Remember this sets the tone for the entire year.  

Not To Mention Tech Earnings:   
  • Tuesday: Boeing, Kimberly $KMB, $NOC $UNH, Seagate $STX, $TXN (after the close)
  • Wed: $AEM, Corning $GLW, $GD, Lam Research $LRCX, $META, $MSFT, $TSLA     
  • Thursday: Altria $MO, $CAT, $MA, $SAP, $SHW, $AAPL, Sandisk $SNDK, $WDC
  • Friday: Chevron $CVX, Colgate $CL, Verizon $VZ, $XOM
NASDAQ Breaks out (above my green line) - on a 60 min chart view - and now the same geniuses who told you the rally was broadening out, and to "invest in China, and Europe" , are now looking for mag 7 leadership, just as I said... 
$NDX Nasdaq 100 

Short term bullish? Not sure—algos could chase the Nasdaq breakout, oil might gap higher on Sunday futures drama, and a dovish Fed hold (near-zero hike odds) might green-light window dressing into month-end. But long term? No way. We've seen too many head-fakes lately, and now this Trump bluster that could fizzle into nothing—or escalate into real supply shocks.

Stay nimble, because I'm still expecting to rally above $SPS 7000, led by Mag7 (of course), but try not to be left holding the bag. 


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