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Friday, January 30, 2026

Gold/Silver Flash Crash, Nasdaq Tumbles -2% ($MSFT -12%), Tesla Bounces Out of the Pocket

Let’s start with the precious metals circus, because it was almost comical yesterday. No sooner than I called it a "speculative bubble" - in yesterday's update [link] - gold and silver straight-up flash-crashed like it owed someone money. 
I also warned about the bagholder risk in the $SPX, and when the music suddenly stopped traders who were relying on the 15 min chart for support suddenly had the rug pulled. Is short term support broken? Damn right it is! I’m not pounding my chest here, but the timing lined up nicely. No dollar collapse, no hyperinflation trigger – just a classic speculative unwind. I was posting the real-time laughs as it unfolded:Peter Schiff has since deleted that tweet, but his legacy lived on😅


Update on Silver this morning:  I jest but this trading the way it's meant to be! 
Then, right on schedule, almost immediately - 1 hour later - the dip buyers piled in and prices snapped right back, with Gold futures actually making new highs, and the Dow closing nearly UNCH. Nothing suspicious about that bounce at all (sarcastic), although it is textbook wave 2 behavior in Elliott Wave terms: sharp selloff, panic, then reflexive FOMO covering and dip-buying that sucks everyone back in thinking it’s “healthy.” Sure, most of what you learned in old-school Elliott Wave circle-jerks (mostly hog-wash) strict rules and guidelines, and bearish patterns that no longer work like they did, pre-algos, pre QE infinity, pre-PPT (plunge protection team), but the one thing never changes: human nature. The meat puppets still FOMO buy every dip like it’s going out of style. And that brings me to the broader market.
Yesterday’s open was brutal across the board – Nasdaq down -2%, led by Microsoft getting absolutely scorched -12% (worst day since the Covid crash). 
Futures are soft again this morning, with some headlines blaming “Trump's pick for new Fed puppet”, or Apple, but I think it's just a little wobbly, after yesterday's chaos. 
$SPX update: The 15-minute chart we were watching cracked almost instantaneously, triggering the initial spill. Seeing more weakness this morning, but yesterday's low becomes key support. I have a good idea where I think the $SPX is going over the next few months, but I'm not showing my hand, as usual. Directly from the 3xtraders playbook: "Loose lips sink ships".  
Bright spot: Tesla ($TSLA) - the one they love to hate 😅
Bouncing out of the pocket I highlighted, near the lower end of the range. Boring, right? I still like it here short-term. Longer-term, though, don’t sleep on that bigger topping pattern from yesterday’s blog – and all the xAI/SpaceX merger chatter feels more like desperation than creative expansion. The latest $XOM sold on good news. This seems to be the new trend looking at Apple as well. 


 Stay sharp out there – volatility is serving up plenty of opportunities, as well as plenty of traps.
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Thursday, January 29, 2026

PsyOps Alert: $USD Dip, Silver Rug, Trump Accounts Timing, Tesla H&S

I'd probably get more clicks if I was forecasting $10,000 Gold, but I'm not laying any clickbait landmines today. Today's Topics Include several MSM PsyOps: 

Technical Tuesday: Highly Publicized US Dollar "Crash" (I'm not calling it that, the MSM is..)  

Wednesday: SPX kisses the 7000 level, where it's immediately sold. Why?  

The Fed stands pat removing the, "downside risk to the Jobs market", phrasing (that's Hawkish).  

Trump holds a "Summit" (more like a ceremony) to launch his baby welfare program (aka Trump Accounts) -on the same day the FOMC rendered their decision NOT to lower interest rates—mind you.       

Some economists view it as fiscal stimulus (~$1K per eligible newborn, potentially $16B total), as per Grok/AI

My Take on That Trump PsyOp 

The timing of the Trump accounts ceremony, coincided with the fed decision to not lower the lending rate, is being used as an excuse to inject money into the failing financial system, when the Fed refuses... If it wasn't hidden in plain sight, and highly publicized, I might call it "covert".

The program doesn't even start until July, 4th, so why is my timeline being flooded with this news this morning? 

Trump Accounts Give Newborns $1,000 Stock Market Seed 

Translation we're set to juice the stock market right here, at the all time highs 

Funny I don't remember voting for socialism in the form of baby welfare 😠 

The Dollar Crash and the Silver PsyOp 

7 days ago - Jim Cramer pumps "best" silver miner—Considers Pan American Silver the “Best Silver Mining Company” [link]

3 days later: Jim Cramer slams 'ridiculous' silver rally 

Same evening: CNBC Fast Money chart master calls Silver a "sell" (short).

Sounds like the same folks who helped drive metals into a speculative bubble, are ready to raise some much needed cash, just ahead of (tech) earnings season. Question is, will we see an even bigger cash raise, now that retail investors have their hearts set on the $SPX 7000 target? In other words; are investors going to be left holding the bag, as I warned in the previous blog [link]  These rug-pulls aren't isolated—watch for similar setups in big tech as earnings ramp.


All I can tell you is to continue to trust the 15 minute chart, for as long as it keeps working.  
 Tesla reported yesterday, and what better stocks to highlight in today's blog. It continues to trade below it's 2024 highs, trading in a bearish head & shoulders pattern. There's also a nested H&S pattern within the larger pattern. 
I don't like stocks that consolidate in the top of the range for a year, and especially this one trading at the same level it was a year ago. 
Bear Case Exhibit A: 
$TSLA (Tesla) Bearish Head & Shoulders Pattern (s) highlighted 

Market seems to be more concerned with driving $META higher - another name to watch. 
 Take care, AA 


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Sunday, January 25, 2026

Trump Latest Tariff Tirade Canada + FOMC in the Spotlight

Trump's back at it again-threatening our top oil supplier, Canada, with crippling 100% tariffs unless they ditch the deal they made with China⸺week before last.
Beijing, People’s Republic of China
Prime Minister Carney forges new strategic partnership with the People’s Republic of China focused on energy, agri-food, and trade" [link]

First question: why this, why now? Not sure what Trump has up his sleeve this time, but my thoughts include:   
  • This is an attempt to pivot away from the 24/7 media coverage of the civil unrest at home (in Minnesota)? 

    Latest deadly shooting by federal agents pushes government closer to shutdown (fortune.com)

  • Attempting to help Elon, by cutting China out of the already failing EV market? 
  • Is Trump trying to put a halt on the, "Sell America"/ invest in Europe, trade? If so, this may only be the beginning, of things to come. Remember: Macron is literally in Beijing right now begging Xi to buy more overpriced Bordeaux and Airbus parts so France doesn’t implode first. [link] 

Dow Jones Futures: Trump Threatens 100% Canada Tariff, Government Shutdown Risks Spike; Earnings Wave Looms (Investors.com)



Possible Trades on The Latest Trump Bluster 

Crude Oil/ Energy 

We've already seen oil breakout several times, ahead of this news - probably on government insider trading (totally legal) -  but I think we could see a spike in Sunday futures, as the algos are triggered.  
 $USO (US Oil) DCS chart - shows a gap left behind on Friday, and several possible upside targets.  

US Oil Chart 


On Top of All This The Fed Renders Their Decision This Week 


The next FOMC announcement is in the spotlight, and barring a rate hike or talk of a rate hike (probability .02%) the market is going to take it as an all clear to window dress the end of the month. Remember this sets the tone for the entire year.  

Not To Mention Tech Earnings:   
  • Tuesday: Boeing, Kimberly $KMB, $NOC $UNH, Seagate $STX, $TXN (after the close)
  • Wed: $AEM, Corning $GLW, $GD, Lam Research $LRCX, $META, $MSFT, $TSLA     
  • Thursday: Altria $MO, $CAT, $MA, $SAP, $SHW, $AAPL, Sandisk $SNDK, $WDC
  • Friday: Chevron $CVX, Colgate $CL, Verizon $VZ, $XOM
NASDAQ Breaks out (above my green line) - on a 60 min chart view - and now the same geniuses who told you the rally was broadening out, and to "invest in China, and Europe" , are now looking for mag 7 leadership, just as I said... 
$NDX Nasdaq 100 

Short term bullish? Not sure—algos could chase the Nasdaq breakout, oil might gap higher on Sunday futures drama, and a dovish Fed hold (near-zero hike odds) might green-light window dressing into month-end. But long term? No way. We've seen too many head-fakes lately, and now this Trump bluster that could fizzle into nothing—or escalate into real supply shocks.

Stay nimble, because I'm still expecting to rally above $SPS 7000, led by Mag7 (of course), but try not to be left holding the bag. 


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Friday, January 23, 2026

Winter Storm Fear Porn Drives Natural Gas Squeeze; Intel Earnings Land With A Thud

Never pass up a good opportunity to drive a short squeeze in natural gas during a crippling ice storm. Prepare to be locked down again: This time not by a lab created virus, but by yet another 100 year storm. Was winter storm "Fern" geoengineered? I don't have time to go down that rabbit hole right now, but it's food for thought, with all the government insider trading that's still going on. Beijing creates snow storms openly- big deal. US whistle-blowers get "conspiracy theorist" labels, and shadow-bans. Meanwhile, derivatives traders cash in on weather whiplash.  

Introduction to Weather Derivatives cmegroup.com [link] 

Figure that Fox Business  doubles as a weather fear-porn hybrid. Blatantly hyping  "power grid pressure", where there is none. Who's the tin foil wearing conspiracy clown now?! 

Winter Storm Fear Porn Drives Natural Gas 

Would You Would Prefer Some Boring Math? 
 
Enter Grok/AI stats: "Natgas futures up 75%+ in days (from ~$3 to highs near $5.66, settling ~$4.99–$5.00 after some profit-taking), biggest weekly gain since 2022. $UNG gapped to 2026 highs on monster volume."
I called the setup early on and have the tweets to prove it - review my X timeline @3xtraders  
Yesterday's Pullback Was Textbook:

@3xtraders eats trolls for breakfast: 


This one this morning calling my hype callout "fearporn"
Moving on to $INTC Intel: Earnings landed with a thud. Q4 revenue beat ($13.7B vs. $13.4B), but Q1 guidance bombed (revenue $11.7–$12.7B midpoint miss, EPS break-even vs. 5¢). Stock tanked 13% AH

 CNBC's Gene Munster called it: "$INTC at its most basic level, a meme stock." And that's exactly what it is—hyped on CHIPS Act and Stargate dreams, but lagging AI execution.
Don't worry, they must keep semis propped. I knew right where to look: $AMD rotation already kicking in pre-market. Prop markets much? 


Hold onto your wallets, because propping markets has become a national security issue, and AI bailouts are next. Taxpayer dollars to the rescue in the name of "winning the race." More in the upcoming blog series on "Semiconductors: The AI Elephant In The Room."

In the meantime, NYC's expected to remain paralyzed into Monday (up to 16 inches snow/ice mix, travel chaos, power outage risks per forecasts), and with Davos wrapping up today (half-day session, early flights), don't expect much selling pressure. Markets might feel like another 3-day weekend.
Take care out there—use the high-perf salt on your driveway... pro tip.No positions disclosed. Trade at your own risk.[End] 



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