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Sunday, July 12, 2026

Lindsey Graham Dead at 71 - How Will Markets Likely React on Monday

 The good news came early Sunday Morning: 

Long time NeoCon, and Trump influencer Lindsey Graham dead at 71:  

To cut straight through the rhetoric being put out by his office - if he were really suffering from an "illness", he wouldn't be traveling around the world, and booking TV talk shows: 

Last known photo of him posing with a Ukrainian drone with the nickname, "penis" - you can make this up! 😂  

How The Market Likely to React to This Exciting News 🚀

I think we could see an explosive move to the upside, now that this warmongering lunatic is out of Trump's sphere of influence. Markets were already poised for another breakout, and now that this Trump influencer is out of the picture; this sets up for an end to the conflict in Iran, and Ukraine. 

Price In World Peace 

$MAGX 2X Leveraged Mag7 ETF - posited to breakout above the 50 day SMA - triggering the buying algos. Word to the wise, overshoots in leveraged ETFs are common.  


S&P futures were already poised for another breakout - as I said earlier. 

ES1 tradingview 

I'll be watching Crude Oil, and Asia as leading indicators Sunday evening. 

☮ - out


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Wednesday, July 8, 2026

The Bullish Setup That Could Carry Us All The Way Through Earnings Season

Forget the broken ceasefire the talking heads are so desperately fanning flames on. The real story - overnight: Seoul, Korea — a room full of chip monkeys seen shitting themselves in real time as trading got halted for the second time. Never a pretty sight.

Everything I’ve been warning you about for the past month is playing out in high definition:Mic drop 

The narrative may be dying… but the trade is just getting started.
Good news: $SOXS smashed right through my $5 target. #ChaChing #Winning  

More Good News: 

$MAGS the trade I alerted to yesterday - find the chart at the [linked] - just showed up fashionably late.
From the same tweet thread ☝ $XLC - my bullish call from last week [link] was actually up again, yesterday. I'm not even going to take credit for that, and you are entirely on your own there. 😅

What other sector was on an absolute tear? Biotech; the other broadening rotation trade (rotation within the same AI sector illusion)


 ...just took a warning shot to the hull! 



Yesterday's offer still stands:  
 If you need me to chart the pullback target for you - drop $100 in my personal PayPal and PM me. And if I'm wrong; I'll even return your money.    

P.S. If you’re short on cash, just get a second job and let AI do all the work. It’s the ultimate side hustle everybody’s doing right now. 
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Tuesday, July 7, 2026

The Bullish MAGS Setup That Could Run All Week - Technical Tuesday Edition

 Another Monday rally (retail mutual fund buying) bites the dust, as the smart money takes profits. I even warned folks to buy protection - at a discount - the $VIX 15.50 level. Low volatility in the summer is normal, but this just seemed a little too good to pass up. 

We've seen this recurring setup many times - over the past several weeks - BUT I think it could be different this time. Because big money is piling back into big tech again, just as I have been predicting for weeks. How do I know this? They just handed us the script.  

From Mike Wilson to Samsung Shock - Bloomberg Shrugs 


US investors are waking up to find $NDX futures -1%, and Bloomberg wasted no time trying to pin the overnight weakness on Samsung (earnings disappointment). Calling BS on that. 

A day earlier ahead of Monday's opening bell; Mike Wilson and a parade of other guests (all parroting the same message) spent the entire day telling viewers that semiconductors were due for a correction. Twelve hours later, Samsung posts a blow-out quarter… and the stock gets hammered. You can’t make this stuff up. 

It took 15-20 minutes to cut through the noise - follow the thread and you'll find Samsung continues to bound off the same level for the past month - we call that building a base,  "consolidation"  not a 30% correction" (Mike Wilson's exact words). 

The Samsung Chart Cuts Straight Through The Word Salad 


Now for the main course! According to the experts, money is expected to "rotate" back into big tech (what they now call hyperscalers), and this sets up for the return of the "broadening trade", which apparently ended when oil spiked. This was news to me; because according to CNBC the broadening trade is still working. This is what happens when you can't keep your story's strait. ProTip: Have some integrity - stop lying. 

The trade they shook you out of last week (in hindsight) - not semis the other one

$MAGS - expect the same pullback I saw coming at yesterday's close, and then chase the smart money (so called) straight into earnings season, which just so happens to kick off next week. 


If you need me to chart the pullback target for you - drop $100 in my personal PayPal and PM me. And if I'm wrong; I'll even return your money.    

P.S. If you’re short on cash, just get a second job and let AI do all the work. It’s the ultimate side hustle everybody’s doing right now. 

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Monday, July 6, 2026

Why It Looks Different This Time: Lack of Leadership, Weak Consumer

Nobody likes an, "I told you so", but didn't I warn you that the $VIX was screaming "risk off"?  Thursday's blog reads like a crystal ball: "$VIX still lurking in the danger zone with the strong possibility of a rebalance, ahead of Q2 earnings — stay nimble" [link]  Glad my gains from earlier in the week were on a hair trigger.  

Quick Recap: Rug Pulled on AI Stocks As In Another Game of Whac-a-mole (the game that never gets old).   


The Chart Pattern That Led To Thursday Bloodbath in Big Tech Stocks 


The attempted breakout above the upper trend line (seen in purple) was immediately followed by a nasty  (bearish) reversal (an obvious bear raid): 


This I can tell you: If this was Joe Biden's market, they would have rallied into the holiday - their usual MO during the previous administration - more on why it's different this time in a moment.  

The Icing On The Cake:  Immediately after the closing bell CNBC Joe Kernen's one on one interview with Donald Trump. 

The balancing Act Going On Beneath The Surface 

The Weak Consumer  

$BPDISC (S&P Consumer Discretionary) dipped as oil prices spiked going into April, and private credit markets hit a rough patch, but now that crude oil prices have come down consumer spending continues to flatline, like the S&P 500, on a good day. 

 



 Thursday (July 3rd) CNBC allows Trump a full half hour to claim ignorance on his $1.4bn gain in stocks, and crypto investments, while at the same time claiming what a good businessman he is, and further trying to justify his massive win by claiming "everybody is making tons of money in the stock market",  pointing to gains in Dow Stocks. The stuff nobody trades.  

News Flash: 

Tech stocks just had one of their worst weeks in a year. Here's how AI momentum went off the rails. morningstar.com 



The Lack of Leadership is Glaring 

 $SPX with a $NYFANG overlay (big tech - mostly mag7 names) - More Proof That Only Big Tech Can Drag The Broader Market Higher. 

AI led into the end of the quarter. No other sector is seen making new all-time highs. That's not a bull market. It's a carefully balanced - on the head of a pin - market. 


This Monday morning we're dealing with the same market mechanics as last week.

$VIX Volatility continues to run high. 

$SPX sideways slop continues - still struggling below the 7500 level. 

Earnings season is shaping up to be another excuse to take profits — Protip: sell the news.

The "broadening out" story needs actual breadth to show up in the tape, not more TV interviews.

Take Care, 
AA 

P.S. Peak Optics at a major market top - Trump Rings The Opening Bell From The Oval Office (cnbc) 




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Thursday, July 2, 2026

The Q2 Stealth Bear Raid No One’s Talking About (Until Now)

 Army ants crushed overnight 

The talking heads continue to push the AI fear porn, but they waited until they'd finished window dressing the quarter (practically to the hour) to unleash their latest bear raid. Tuesday's blog reads like a crystal ball: "$VIX still lurking in the danger zone with the strong possibility of a rebalance, ahead of Q2 earnings — stay nimble" [link].

The only thing that surprises me is how they are able to keep markets balanced on the head of a pin. 

The market magicians are getting more creative   

  • The two day rally in tech is cut short, while Financials broke out to new recent highs, but here's a new one: 
  • Commercial Services (micro-sector) - never heard of it? You're not alone. leads a stealth rally. I even turned to AI in order to get a handle on the action, but AI hallucinates a lot: "Why Traders Watch It". My response:  If "traders watched it", I would actually know all there is to know about it after trading for 15 years. I watch everything, and I've never even heard of it. Grok response: Fair point: It's a granular sub-industry group (under Industrials → Commercial & Professional Services → Commercial Services & Supplies in GICS).", whatever the fuck that means. GICS (dkdk)? I better start including the prompt "explain it to me like I'm an idiot" - next time.... 😂

Translation: It's just another sub sector to pump, when nobody is watching.
Today's trade? All eyes seems to be on the jobs number data - set to drop in 30 min. I suspect that could set up for a shortsqueeze in certain sectors, theta burn in others. 
Gentlemen start your barbeques! 


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