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Friday, March 20, 2026

Manifesting Market Moves: This Week's Coincidences Are Getting Suspicious

 Quick weekly wrap-up of uncanny events (so far):

  • In yesterday's blog [linked] I accuse the Fed of shielding banks from the rout → 1 hour later, the capital-requirements easing story breaks. (Uncanny level: 10/10 timing.) 
  • Kharg Island prediction (tweeted 36+ hours ago) → 
  • Market echoes: Yesterday's "RISK ON" call on the Russell [linked] 

    Russell 2000
    Closes Higher on some of the best volume we've seen in 2 months.


  • Top in Oil Called in Real time [linked] 

    This morning we see it bouncing off support 
I remain super-bearish on Oil, and the more I hear the talking heads drive the inflation narrative, the more I see through their political theater. 

$WTI (US Crude Oil) is already trading in the danger zone 
Heating Oil is up on speculation that the war will continue...  even as Israel has stated that it's going to be over faster than anyone thinks. In fact winter is nearly over and heating oil is still in the midst of doing a massive retest of the historic 2022 high! 
Heating Oil - retesting the recent highs


The Breaking News Story That's Not Getting Much Attention: 

Crude down as Netanyahu looks to reassure on war (themessenger.com)

"This war is ending a lot faster than people think," he said...


P.S. Accounting for inflation, oil isn't trading anywhere near historic highs, and $4 gasoline isn't hurting anybody's pocketbook. I plan on filling up this morning, and expecting to pay 7 bucks more than 3 weeks ago. Less than the cost of a cheeseburger.   

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