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Friday, September 11, 2026

Bonds, Banks, and $VIX: The Trade Nobody's Connecting

While the talking heads are pointing to $6 crude oil, attempting to fan the flames on Trumpflation - not gold this time - diesel fuel - and good luck trying to find a reliable chart. It's a niche trade, similar to nickel. I only charted it this morning, because it's one of the only news stories hitting the tape. Spoiler:

The Brent crude oil chart - I discovered after yesterday's close - is far more exciting..: 


That is NOT the chart that cracked the code on the current market. This is: 

 

1. $PBFKX - Pioneer Bond Fund (trades mostly US government backed treasuries). Price action just took out my downside target, at the lower end of the range (a classic pennant pattern). This is the chart that utterly destroys the liberal lame stream media false narrative, that "investors are making bets on higher interest rates". Funny thing is they're reporting this with a happy face - I haven't seen them having this much fun since they started blaming covid deaths on Trump, but I digress...  

2. Financials: I hinted at what I was looking at a couple days ago: 


It's absolutely not a coincidence that the protected - too big to fail - US banking system is holding up just fine, even as the supposed threat of higher debt and soaring interest rates are knocking at the door. Ironic. 

And without further ado: The 7th tweet response, below the pinned tweet alert I posted in my timeline yesterday. It's like a treasure hunt finding it - explains why it got so few views. Click on the tweet below to get a better view of the bullish consolidation pattern - landing right on key support in real time. 

In case you're still scratching your head: the powers that shouldn't be have no intention of allowing US financials to collapse as they did in 2008, and that's what makes the above chart an absolute tell. It proves that the bull market - if you can even call it that - remains on track. 

3th Chart I discovered had to be updated, before the pattern - a clean parallel channel - came into view. Click on my response to the tweet below - to find one of the best charts of the day (only got 23 views). Just goes to show how little attention is paid to the most valuable information. 

$SVXY - The Infamous $VIX bear ETF


One of the main reasons the fear PsyOp needed to be ramped up - was to coincide with the republican convention, so in hindsight it was the perfect storm, and I'm not sure it's entirely over. The midterms aren't over by a long shot.   

 The week in review: The action was not all that terrible, unless you were trying to bottom pick one of the sectors CNBC Fast Money has been shamelessly pumping all year - too many to mention. 

 The Broader Market Is Set For a Rebound

The S&P only ended down .5% - yet managed to shake the weak hands just below the 50 day SMA.   

Support on the SPY is the June high ($759). The Chart speaks for itself. 


P.S. Happy 9/11 Patriots! Never stop exposing the truth about what really happened on this day in history! Only 80% of Americans believe the official narrative.  


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