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Friday, September 12, 2025

Precious metals Gold Platinum Silver’s Wild Ride: Hedge or Trap?


Precious metals have been on an incredible run in 2025, with gold rising above $2,600/oz and silver hitting $42.40 this morning!  SILVER 

 The Big Reveal 

$SLV Silver ETF - Continues to retest the highs, and this morning looks like it's going to continue to break out above my upper pattern line. Don't worry about the EW count (annotations) btw 


 GOLD

Back in January, I alerted to Gold, and Gold miners, as the 

Best Performing Sector of 2025

check it if you missed it. $NUGT  If you had bought and held the 2X Gold miners ETF $NUGT since April you're up nearly 400%!  

 Platinum  It seems like nobody who follows me trades platinum, but I called out that trade back in April, regardless 

Best Trade of The Quarter Better Than Gold or Silver 

 
And here I am calling the top in Platinum 
 
Did you pick up on my bearish tone...? 😅
 
 Getting back to Silver. I tried calling the top on Silver earlier in the year, and even sold my small hoard 
At that time I didn't realize that there has been a broad based rush into hard assets, ever since geopolitical tensions started spilling over in the Mideast.Trump tariff, and Trump challenging Powell on Interest rates policy may have helped lift silver, but see silver as, "poor man's gold". Let's be real—silver investors aren’t the sharpest tools in the shed, and the biggest investors in Silver and China, Russia, and India. India's market has been getting crushed, and money has to go somewhere, I guess.I've heard CNBC Fast Money traders say, “Real men don’t trade silver,” but I think it looks like a good hedge against any potential downside in the Gold trade.  If you're more intent on selling Silver just for the fun of it, there's even a 2X Silver bear ETF, but I'm afraid you'll have to chart that yourself. Come to think of it, you could hedge the $GDX with a Silver miners short.  A word of warning; take extra care when trading commodities, AA   


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Saturday, September 6, 2025

Weekend Wrap-up: Leader Broadcom Replaces NVIDIA in AI Wars. Plus StockCharts missing volume bars solution (Solved)

 Broadcom Replaces NVIDIA as the Leader in AI Wars 

The above title may be a little misleading, but not far from the truth. Stick around...  

Reviewing Friday's Market Action  

 Friday's rally fizzled as Broadcom - which was seen up +16% in pre-market - was immediately sold at the open. It subsequently closed $25 off the highs, to end the day up +9%, while at the same time both NVIDIA, and $AMD sold off. Market leader $SOX actually ended slightly higher, which I wouldn't have thought was possible, but after digging a little deeper this Saturday morning, it all makes sense!

If you like a good mystery you can dig through this twitter thread for yourself.

To save you the trouble...; here's what the Motley Fool had to say about what "investors were looking for", on Friday: 

 The stakes are arguably just as high for fellow chip giant, Broadcom (AVGO 9.18%). Broadcom has become such a massive company that it has surpassed Tesla in market cap -- paving the way for a new group of market-leading growth stocks known as the "Ten Titans."

Did you catch that? In case you didn't get the memo, the "Ten Tech Titans" have replaced the Magnificent 7 (mag7). This was news to me, but I guess I just don't watch as much Jim Cramer anymore.  

After Friday's close CNBC Fast Money's, fast talkin', Tim Seymour was seen calling this development "Fantastic, and exciting!" Why? Because Wall Street has been looking for new leadership in the AI space, and they believe they've found (engineered) it. That's right, Wall Street insiders have been planning this for some time. 

Watch it for yourself: 

 

Look, this is the same bozo who told you to buy $AMD, at the recent highs, so I would take anything he says with a grain of salt, and NOT trade on his advice. And the same goes for Cramer, who was recently seen pumping $AMD at the recent highs.  

If they had told us that NVIDIA was about to be replaced, ahead of Friday's market action, then I might think differently, but the retail investor is always the last to know..!    

 In retrospect it all comes down to market cap. Broadcom is bigger: 

To refresh your memory: 

1. First it was the four horsemen of tech.

2. Then it was FAANG Stocks

3. The Mag7 

4. The 10 Tech Titans

5. Next: I predict we're going to see the "Dirty Dozen", but I digress lol  

A little history lesson: 

After the financial collapse of 2008 (aka the "Great Recession) the rotten financial sector can no longer lead markets, so they had to invent new ways of lifting the market ever higher, by funneling money into Obama/ Romney care. Covid spending, bailouts, and of course by pumping, " BIG TECH". 

Now 10 overweight tech giants is all that's needed to drive markets. Voila problem solved! 

Where does the madness end? 

I suspect AI wars, between Broadcom, NVIDIA, and Deepseek, is far from over, but I also believe we're fast approaching a capitulation moment for the entire market. I'll have to do a deeper dive on that subject, some time in the near future.    

Luckily for me I pretty much saw this coming, as I already had $AVGO in my Mag7 folder. 

 

Lunar Eclipse This Weekend

This astrological event may present a shift in market sentiment, and this wouldn't be the first time... 

Google Search: "Trading Full Moon Lunar Market Cycles", for a treasure trove information on that subject    

And Finally 

 StockCharts Missing Volume Bars solution (Solved)

I recently ran into a problem with missing volume bars, and Money Flow indicators in StockCharts software, and I couldn't find anything in the troubleshooting, or FAQ, on the stockcharts.com website that addresses the issue. 

As it turns out all I needed to do was clear the browser cache, in order to return everything back to normal.  

I've been using StockCharts for the entire time I've been trading, and I highly recommend them. 

If you haven't tried stockcharts, and would like to sign up for a free trial month, please mention my name in the referral section, and I'll also get a free month.   

 

Start Your Free One-Month Trial!

Take care, AA

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Thursday, September 4, 2025

Mania/ Capitulation, Momentum, Gold. + Comparing the US $SPX Performance to Foreign Markets

 Be sure to checkout all the recent updates links to all recent articles can be found in the sidebar menu:

Yesterday, I covered the reversal in Crude Oil, the Breakout in Google (Alphabet), and I even pinned down the trend on the only sector that seems to matter to Wall Street, Big Tech. 

You can usually find the latest blog update pinned to the top of my twitter feed @3Xtraders. I'll often add informational tweets to the pinned tweet, as I did yesterday. 

 I also hinted to the $VIX being sold at the 200 day moving average, something that is so obvious...   

I'm 100% sure that, that is a better view of the broader market than you will ever find on CNBC pro. 

 Gold mania continues  

Metals mania, and the media saturation that goes along with it seems to have reached its peak, and if I'm correct the algos know what to do next, take profits. 

 I suspect that isn't the top, because it's not a strong enough reversal, but I think we could be close to a pullback.  

 And that brings me to my next point Momentum  

 We're NOT only seeing momentum in Metals markets but also foreign markets, several of which I called out by name yesterday including Canada.  

The money flow into some of these foreign markets has been nothing short of astounding, far surpassing what we've seen in Gold, and Silver. 

By the looks of it; Donald Trump has only managed to make foreign markets great again, because they are out-performing US markets by leaps and bounds! Don't believe me? Pull up a Global Dow chart - trading up +17.5% for the year!  

$GDOW  - Bought around 4800 in January - currently trades at $5695. 

If the $SPX was on the same track it would be trading around $6785.  

 Here's an even more sobering view of the Toronto market!:

 $TSX - trades back into the (repaired) channel. Up nearly 20% since April! 

Note: the lack of any price labels since April. I don't believe this is due to a glitch in the Stockscharts software, but to the fact that there has not been any significant pullback...


I've never really given much thought to price labels, but I've also never seen a market like this. 

From StockCharts FAQ:  

Price Labels are balloons that display price or index values above and below significant peaks and troughs. The main purpose of Price Labels is to visualize significant highs and lows of price action. When you enable Price Labels on your chart (check the Price Labels box under Chart Attributes to enable), you can quickly see the highest and lowest values displayed. You don't have to look up these values in a separate table or use the Inspect (crosshair) tool.

Price Labels may look like they gave good signals in the past, but they’re not designed to be trading signals. To generate price labels, we look into the future when deciding where to display them. You’ll never see a price label appear at the far right edge of the chart. This is why Price Labels can't be used for trading signals.

In my personal opinion AI trading algos have taken the place of rational thought, and valuation is out the window, so you would have to think like AI, in order to anticipate a top.    

Australia 

The Australian market has been on a similar tear, until just recently.   

 $AORD - Rug is pulled at my stophunt (line) highlighted in Red. It was bought at the 50 day moving average. If this were a crash, the 50 day would have been taken out, in a much larger gap lower, and that's exactly what I'm expecting to see, before Trump's second term comes to an end.  

Take Care, 

AA  

 

 

  

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Wednesday, September 3, 2025

Market Update Wed. Hump day. Google Alphabet & Crude Oil Breaks Out

 Yesterday, we saw a continuation of the bear raid we saw in US equities on Friday. This was on the heels of some weakness in Germany, with the $DAX ending down -2.29%. Of course you don't hear that being reported in the US, and Bloomberg was seen trying to convince Traders that yesterday's selloff had something to do with Trump tariffs, or overvalued Mag7 stocks, when they weren't busy covering the festivities going on in China. 


I was kind of surprised to see the rug pulled on big tech, but this is what the fast money on Wall Street does. No sooner than they return from vacation they try to shake out the retail investor... so I'm chalking it up to your typical Monday/ Tuesday morning surprise. A Bear Raid; more than a Bear Trap, although I'm sure some bears are finding themselves trapped this morning. 

 $TECS Watch for the 3X Tech bear $TECS to be hammered back down into the bearish channel...

Bear raid; same MO: hide in precious metals or whatever else they can manipulate, drive the $VIX higher, and sell Apple, NVIDIA, or any other names they can't wait to put money to work in.

But that plan seems to have been squashed, as we saw stocks recover late in the day, ahead of what appears to be a strategically timed bullish press release coming from Google. 

I'm filing this under the, "rigged news reports that are used to move markets", folder, and here's BAC working with CNBC again? If memory serves, we saw something similar just last week. More on that in a minute, once I track it down, but first today's headline:

 CNBC wants you to pay to read this article, which I find hilarious: 

 




 The last time we saw Google pull something like this was when they rehashed their Willow Chip news back in December, in order to cause the bears to capitulate. If you recall, that marked the previous all time high in mag7 stocks.  

 Here's the previous BofA pump which looks like it was designed to help CNBC. 

 

Can you say, "racketeering"? 

Going to the charts: 

$GOOG Alphabet (DCS chart) To document the previous high...  and this morning we see it trading around the $225 level (a new all time high) the last I checked.  

Furthermore, I see no need to raise a price target after the fact, but this is what bankers and analysts do in order to try to remain relevant.    

$NDX - not only did they sell the right shoulder on a H&S pattern on Friday, but they broke the trend, and shook out some retail investors below the 50 day moving average. In other words they took out some stops.   

 Crude Oil 

Oil rallied to a new recent high yesterday. I was looking at the chart yesterday afternoon, and it just looked misplaced to me. This morning I noticed that the $USO had been driven above the 50 day, in order to trigger program buying, and I suppose investors who saw Tech selling off, piled into crude oil, as usual,  but this morning we're seeing the backlash...


 As long as these sector rotations continue, then we aren't going to see any meaningful pullback. 

That also goes for Crypto and precious metals, and even utilities.  

As long as investors continue to hide in defensive sectors, that's money that's not going to be put to work in conventional stocks. 

 Take Care, AA 

 



 

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Tuesday, September 2, 2025

Silver becomes the latest meme trade... $VIX does something extraordinary!

 You may also want to check out the weekend update linked  

To review last week's action: 

 It appears that traders wanted to raise some cash in order to pump the China India summit, so they sold the S&P at the 4500 (round number) target. It was an easy call.  

$SOX - Recap of Friday's reversal 

 

We also got Gold, and Silver miners right, and that helped lift (2X) Gold miners $NUGT, which closed up +21% for the week! 

 Silver becomes the latest meme trade

Labor Day (Monday) I noticed Silver pushing above $40, and I suspect the reversal is going to look exactly like the one we just saw in copper.   

Checkout the Silver Manipulator I spotted on YouTube less than a minute into the video he falsely claims that a +1% move in Silver is somehow extraordinary?   

A 1% move in Silver is nothing. I wouldn't be surprised to see a 10% move in Silver, after some of the meme trading we've witnessed over the past few years.  

The Broader Market  

This morning (Tuesday) we're seeing US futures slammed, and Germany leading the way lower. 

I spotted this lower target on the $SPX on Friday  

 

We're also seeing rumors that President Trump is in poor health, and some sort of announcement supposedly scheduled for 2PM. This is the chatter I'm seeing on the X platform.   


 $VIX does something extraordinary! 

The $VIX continues to trade below 20 which you would expect during a holiday week, but look where it was hammered (manipulated) this morning.  


 Crypto gets a bounce 

Lately we've seen Crypto getting hammered with Tech stocks, and it will be interesting to see if Crypto and tech stocks continue to move in tandem, or will they diverge? I really don't know, but considering what I'm hearing from the contrarians at CNBC, I wouldn't be surprised to see a divergence. This morning - for instance - were seeing Crypto get a lift, as NASDAQ futures are pointed to a lower (-1%) open. 


Getting back to last week's China Rally up another 2% on Labor Day (Monday)

The China Hang Seng has been bouncing off the 50 day moving average for months, and last week's rally  - to another lower recent high - was no different.
 
Meanwhile look at what's been going on in China   

US Banks Moved $312B in Chinese Drug Money, But Crypto Gets the Blame multiple sources 

 but wait there's more! 

Goldman, Citi lead US banks ploughing billions into China thebusinesstimes.com 

NPR Chicago 

China's Xi hosts Putin and Modi at Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit

 "Chinese President Xi Jinping is hosting a high-profile summit with leaders from Russia, North Korea and India gathering among others in a challenge to U.S. influence."

Alibaba gains $50 billion value after AI progress fuels rally

By Winnie Hsu
By Luz Ding
By Bloomberg 

Also this from China lovin' Bloomberg 


Alibaba Share Surge Adds $50 Billion After AI Revenue Boost

With a government shutdown looming, and that story taking center stage, I would expect to see some choppiness, between now and Thanksgiving, but I'd be looking to sell China, Silver, Crypto, anything, other than the hopelessly rigged US equities market.  

Watch for a sudden reversal in Silver, similar to the one we saw in copper, with the closest near term support being the $34 level, right around where the 200 day moving average is currently trading.  

 


Take Care, AA   

   



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Saturday, August 30, 2025

Markets Dumped on Labor Day Friday. Gold rallies to all time highs, + Bitcoin Crypto

 I'll tell you what; the powers that be would've never dumped the market on a Friday, leading into the beginning of Christmas shopping season (Labor Day sales), on Joe Biden's watch. 

 Perhaps there is some really bad news on the way, or it could be that once the 6500 target on the S&P 500 was breached, traders couldn't wait to take profits? Another possibility is that we just saw a quick re-balancing, ahead of Sept. 1st., knowing nobody with half a brain would want to get short ahead of another long weekend.   

Normally, I would call yesterday's market behavior, as "dash for the exits", but you don't see names like Apple being sold, and the $VIX only managed to hit the low 15s. That's low, in case you didn't know.... 

 

What did they sell? 

J. Cramer favorite Marvell $MRVL -18.6% 

 August 16th, 2025 

Jim Cramer on Marvell: "I Want You to Buy More" 

I'll let you decide if Jim Cramer intentionally set the bull trap, but I can tell you that any technical analyst with a valid chart, knew damn well, MRVL was a strong sell...  
 
Marvel Technology $MRVL 3 year DCS chart - see for yourself. 1. The gap (fill) target. 2. The 200 day moving average was sold. 3. The bearish back-test at the lower end of the pattern. Note: Friday's massive selling volume! 
 
 
Investors slaughtered 8/29/25 

What else did they sell? Tesla, and that says a lot about whoever is doing the selling imo    

Here's an interesting take on Tesla $TSLA 

  Published @ benzinga.com 

August 30, 2025 4:33 AM 3 min read

Tesla Stock 'Engineered, Not Earned,' Says Gordon Johnson As Call Buying Surge Drives Put-To-Call Ratio Down

Analyst Claims Options Manipulation Behind Tesla’s Stability

Johnson, an analyst at GLJ Research, alleged on Friday that Tesla’s stock prices are being artificially supported through options market manipulation rather than fundamental performance.

“TSLA isn’t trading on fundamentals – it’s being actively manipulated through the options market,” Johnson wrote on X. “Despite abysmal news, the stock is flat. Why? Someone is aggressively buying calls.”

 I can't help but wonder if Grok (AI) is seeing anything "suspicious" in the options market? 

Bezinga may have some credibility among the trading community, but I subscribe to the theory that it's best to, "believe none of what you hear, and only half of what you see", and especially when it comes to the financial networks.

They also sold NVDIA $NVDA with Semiconductors, of course, and I kinda saw that coming...

 

What DIDN'T they sell? Google (trading at new highs), Apple, and Microsoft (only down -.5%) 

The talking heads in lame stream media, will tell you stories about seasonality and Sept. being one of the worst months, but for now this looks more like a continuation of the Mag7 balancing act we've seen over the past several years, rather than any kind of serious correction. 

Gold 

 Gold managed to eek out a slightly higher high, driving precious metals miners towards our target. 

 So it's the same MO: Rotate into Gold miners, or Crypto, or Natural Gas, while trashing tech, and whatever else the retail investor has been investing in. It's a racket. 

Speaking of Crypto: After Friday's close CNBC Fast Money was seen reporting the, "new all time highs, and what an incredible run it's been, but those kinds of false statements are juxtaposed to what I'm seeing in the charts.

 Bitcoin $BTC Labor Day Weekend - sure the run from April was pretty incredible, but the slightly higher new highs have since vanished.

 


Bitcoin is currently back-testing the previous high (@ 108k) we saw around Memorial Day, and if that support breaks, I suspect all hell could break loose, in the heavily pumped Crypto space. 

 And I suspect the final outcome will be far worse for the likes of Ethereum $ETH

 It looks like the 2X Ether bear ETFs are already breaking out, but trading these funds are not for the faint of heart. 

 

 Take Care, 

AA  

 

 

 

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Thursday, August 28, 2025

The Market Rally Continues into Labor Day. NVIDIA $NVDA, SnowFlake, Gold Silver Miners, Small Caps, Energy, Natural Gas, Labor Day

 If you think markets aren't rallying, you just don't know where to look. 

Small Caps 

Russell 2000 Small Caps are poised to open higher 

 Pointed to that breakout yesterday (Wed.) 

Energy

The stealth rally in Energy seems to have paused 

Natural Gas 

We caught a nice pop in Natural Gas at yesterdays open 

 $BOIL (2x Pro NatGas) closed +2.85% 


 

$SNOW (SnowFlake) We're seeing short squeeze in this junk tech (AI) name this morning - trading back at the $220, last I checked.

 



SnowFlake is undoubtedly being used to help hold the $QQQ up, but I can't reveal that chart.  

$GLD Paper Gold  

 Yesterday, I revealed that the $GLD is also being held above support, just as tech was held up into the end of 2021, so that profit taking could be delayed until 2022. 

 Precious Metals/ Miners 

 Gold & Silver miners took a pause yesterday, but will probably continue to rally, which is typical heading into a long holiday 

$XAU (Gold $ Silver Index) - I'm expecting to see a blow off top throw-over the top of the channel

 


NVIDIA $NVDA It looks like I got NVIDIA right, but I wouldn't expect anyone is willing to go short, heading into a long holiday. 

Overall the market is pretty dull, as the $VIX trading below 15 would suggest.  

Take Care and have a great Memorial Day, 

AA  

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Sunday, August 24, 2025

Weekend Update Stocks Crypto Precious Metals Gold Silver Market Breaks Out to New ALL TIME HIGHS

Markets rallied to new all time highs on Friday, or at least certain parts of the market did. 

Precious metals miners made several new highs last week

$DJGSP (Dow Jones Precious Metals Index) tweeted 

 

The NASDAQ, and Mag7 stocks DID NOT make new highs, and the fact that $NVDA was throttled first thing in the morning with a suspiciously timed press release.

Tech is trading at basically the same level is was on July 4th 

 


  I think there's a good chance we see tech taken down on or even ahead of NVIDIA earnings. 

 $TECS 3X Tech bear 


 

Technically the $SPX didn't make a new all time high, but that didn't stop the hedge funds internet trolls from rubbing salt in the wounds, for anyone who was dumb enough to go short into Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech - more on that in a moment. 

Here I am raining on their parade on Saturday morning:

Funny that the $SPY (the heavily traded S&P 500 ETF) managed to barely touch a new high, yet the $SPX itself didn't....  

Something that I found even more interesting was that the $NYSE (a better measure of the broader market than the $SPX) actually did breakout to new highs!  

The Dow Jones Industrial Average broke out to a slightly higher high, and Trump was seen taking credit for it, but the Dow isn't a good measure of the broader market. 

I think the $SPX can close at a fresh high on Monday, and you'll find this 5 minute chart view pinned to the top of my X (formerly twitter) page view.

Of course I saw this rally coming from a mile away     

I even went out of my way to try to warn the market bears in early August, to try to stay on the right side of the trade, and I even provided charts. 

Trump Headlines Continue to Drive Market Direction: Precious Metals Gold Silver Miners, Crypto, and Tech Stocks - my take

The Bear Trap  

As recently as Wed. of last week Bloomberg and CNBC were both seen reporting a "5 day losing streak", and CNBC Fast Money even went a step further calling it, "the worst selloff since January", a total lie. 

Here I am trolling that clown car show: 

Here's a little secret: If you check a $NYSE chart, you'll find that the market hardly pulled back at all. 

So how did they pull the $SPX down...? 

Wall Street slips as Walmart helps pull S&P 500 to another loss daytondailynews.com 


After all is said and done: It was certainly a good trading day as buying programs were triggered by hurdreds of news reports stating that Powell has opened the door for a Sept. rate cut.

In case you didn't know it, buying programs are programmed to trigger buy orders on certain keywords or phrases such as "Powell rate cut Sept.", for instance.  

In truth Powell didn't say much about timing, or certainty, but facts don't matter when trading in this type of environment. 

Ethereum rallied 14% to retest the recent highs, and solar stocks ended higher.     

 Take Care, AA 


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