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Tuesday, December 30, 2025

2025 Was a BIG WINNER for Personal Growth

2025 kicked off with a markets consolidating (bearish) for several months, before the rug was finally pulled, just as we were expecting. MSM blamed Trump tariffs, predictions of a recession followed the very next day. I remember it like yesterday, the whole thing was a ruse, we saw coming months prior... Heck, I egged it on. 
 
Once the bears were trapped; next came one of the most massive bullish reversals in Nasdaq history, and did the Trump bears turn bullish as a the plethora of Trump deals came down the pike? No, they could be found hiding in everything from precious metals, to crypto, and to this very day they remain absolutely certain that, "Tariffs are inflationary". 😅 

Same Market Same Ol' Song and Dance 

By the 4th of July it was starting to look like the Covid rally all over again - Tech/ Mag7/ AI/ including a familiar name NVIDIA, had led the entire "everything rally", but then something odd happened. The same folks who pushed the AI animal instincts narrative suddenly started talking up "AI bubble" theory, while claiming that the rally was broadening out. We debunked that nonsense early-on [link]         

The truth: When Mag7 wasn't leading markets, and because energy couldn't lead... stealth rallies in whack-a-mole (sector rotation) trades became commonplace. We saw every type of junk stock driven to the moon and back.  50%The Rotation Lineup is Longer than Santa's Naughty List  
  • Crypto 
  • Gold, Silver, Platinum, even Rare Earths  
  • Speculative AI stonks
  • Solar, Green energy 
  • Cannabis stocks ðŸŽ„up +50% in one day in Dec. 13th. Grok thought  that was normal; lacks common sense - read the manual.  
  • Healthcare/ Biotech ðŸ’‰ðŸ’‰ðŸ’‰  
  • On Comet, on Cupid, on Cramer, and Stupid - They even tried to drive casinos into a short squeeze 
If you missed any of these trades you missed a lot! 

But 2025 was not all success stories 

In fact most stocks have not performed well in 2025, and a look at the new highs vs new lows proves it! 

$NYHL  NYSE New Highs vs New Lows. Worse market we've seen since 2018  

$KMB Kimberly Clark 
Household name, consumer staples - give back all the gains of the past 5 years. Dividend. What dividend?  

$SHAK -  $SHAK is the poster child for the pump 'n' dump - just look at the chart!     - $25 cheeseburger anyone? HARD PASS! 


Speaking of the Pump 'n' Dump: Crypto was run up on Trump's 2nd win, and then came the crypto unwind including memestock $MSTR 
Today Ethereum is caught in a seemingly endless death spiral. The entire summer rally has evaporated. 
I started beating the bear drum in the fall, and even though stocks continued to hold up in a mostly sideways pattern, momentum is dead.  

Equal-weight reality the $SPX is not even up year over year, once you account for inflation. 

But 2025 Was a BIG YEAR for Personal Growth 

  • Added the TradingView platform to my toolbox - game changer 
  • Took a deep dive into the ThinkOrSwim platform—expanded my reach 10 fold. 
  • Took the crash course in Options trading - massive shoutout to Grok/AI for helping me finally crack the code.
  • Traded the absolute shit out of my wife's 401k, without getting flagged for excessive trading behavior. Here's how I did it [link]  
  • New record number of blogs created record also attributable to my trust sidekick Grok/AI 
  • Charting technique and discipline? I learned more in 2025 than the previous 3-4 years combined. Who knew, I'd still be learning after 15 years?    

What's not predictable or preventable is AI wildcard 2026: 

Ex-Google Exec (WARNING): The Next 15 Years Will Be Hell Before We Get To Heaven!


New Years Resolution 2026: Stick with the winning side of the trade.





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