Page menu

Sunday, April 26, 2026

Dissecting Semiconductors + One Hyperscaler Quietly Sitting on the Launchpad

After Friday's short squeeze in Intel (+30% at one point in pre-market) — I decided to pop the latch on the semiconductor engine. I found a few monkey wrenches. But I also found a double bottom forming in one of Wall Street's favorite hyperscalers ($IBM).

  • $INTC (Intel) — The AI perma-bulls seemed to throw caution to the wind on Friday, as they drove the stock to new all-time highs in Thursday's after-hours session — putting a few more sprinkles on the already heavily frosted rally in semiconductor stocks.

    🔧 A Few Monkey Wrenches:

  • Super risky, highly speculative microcaps like $COHU being FOMO bought — red flag — reminiscent of the crypto pump of '25
  • The same bots we watched drive crypto to the moon and back last year were spotted trolling the financial hashtags on X — HUGE RED FLAG

Same Bots Different Stocks

THE DANGLING CARROT WALL STREET MUST CHASE   

You gotta take the good with the bad — especially heading into what may be the biggest earnings week for tech stocks all year. And I found a big juicy carrot dangling directly in front of the perma-bulls — one they ABSOLUTELY CANNOT RESIST. Why? Because it's a "hyperscaler" (fancy Wall Street word for "big cloud company") — and I plan to tear that whole world apart in an upcoming 3-part series. DON'T MISS IT.

$IBM — Trades into a perfect double bottom (that's no coincidence). I think it can easily rally back to the June 2025 level of $290. Wall Street holds a broadly bullish consensus on IBM, with 60% of analysts rating it a Buy and 40% maintaining a Neutral stance — notably, 0% carry a Bearish rating.

$IBM DCS chart

$VIX Update: Still manipulated as ever — they can't technically short it, so they do this instead: [link]

Make No Mistake — This Market Is Trading Into a Bubble Like the World Has Never Seen Before

  • Animal instincts being triggered by Hollywood-level smoke & mirrors
  • Machine-driven algos steering markets instead of common sense
  • Entire market levitated by one highly speculative sector
  • Selling of $VIX volatility signaling Risk On — a false positive
  • Broader market whipsawing back to the top of the range — technical red flag
  • Friday short squeezes masquerading as organic buying — classic bear indicator

Warning to 401k fans: We've gone to 100% cash and dropped new contributions to 0%!


I'm not saying stocks are going to crash right here — but the S&P is trading back near the top of the range. "New All-Time Highs" is mostly smoke and mirrors. Most stocks are not trading at all-time highs — far from it.

Take Care, 
AA 

P.S. — Reminder: Intel became a government-sponsored enterprise when the Trump administration purchased a nearly 10% stake (433.3 million shares) in August 2025 — a move designed to bolster domestic semiconductor production. So the question worth asking: if chip demand is so insatiable, why does Intel need a government lifeline at all?








No comments:

Post a Comment