Page menu

Friday, January 23, 2026

Winter Storm Fear Porn Drives Natural Gas Squeeze; Intel Earnings Land With A Thud

Never pass up a good opportunity to drive a short squeeze in natural gas during a crippling ice storm. Prepare to be locked down again: This time not by a lab created virus, but by yet another 100 year stormWas winter storm "Fern" geoengineered? I don't have time to go down that rabbit hole right now, but it's food for thought, with all the government insider trading that's still going on. Beijing creates snow storms openly- big deal. US whistle-blowers get "conspiracy theorist" labels, and shadow-bans. Meanwhile, derivatives traders cash in on weather whiplash.  

Introduction to Weather Derivatives cmegroup.com [link] 

Figure that Fox Business  doubles as a weather fear-porn hybrid. Blatantly hyping  "power grid pressure", where there is none. Who's the tin foil wearing conspiracy clown now?! 

Winter Storm Fear Porn Drives Natural Gas 

Would You Would Prefer Some Boring Math? 
 
Enter Grok/AI stats: "Natgas futures up 75%+ in days (from ~$3 to highs near $5.66, settling ~$4.99–$5.00 after some profit-taking), biggest weekly gain since 2022. $UNG gapped to 2026 highs on monster volume."
I called the setup early on and have the tweets to prove it - review my X timeline @3xtraders  
Yesterday's Pullback Was Textbook:

@3xtraders eats trolls for breakfast: 


This one this morning calling my hype callout "fearporn"
Moving on to $INTC Intel: Earnings landed with a thud. Q4 revenue beat ($13.7B vs. $13.4B), but Q1 guidance bombed (revenue $11.7–$12.7B midpoint miss, EPS break-even vs. 5¢). Stock tanked 13% AH

 CNBC's Gene Munster called it: "$INTC at its most basic level, a meme stock." And that's exactly what it is—hyped on CHIPS Act and Stargate dreams, but lagging AI execution.
Don't worry, they must keep semis propped. I knew right where to look: $AMD rotation already kicking in pre-market. Prop markets much? 


Hold onto your wallets, because propping markets has become a national security issue, and AI bailouts are next. Taxpayer dollars to the rescue in the name of "winning the race." More in the upcoming blog series on "Semiconductors: The AI Elephant In The Room."

In the meantime, NYC's expected to remain paralyzed into Monday (up to 16 inches snow/ice mix, travel chaos, power outage risks per forecasts), and with Davos wrapping up today (half-day session, early flights), don't expect much selling pressure. Markets might feel like another 3-day weekend.
Take care out there—use the high-perf salt on your driveway... pro tip.No positions disclosed. Trade at your own risk.[End] 



Thursday, January 22, 2026

Christmas May be in the Rearview but the Grinch is Still Working Overtime to Steal your Mag7 holdings, and your Christmas Bonus

Greenland turned out to be yet another distraction markets didn't need—and nobody was made more aware of this fact than the short-sellers who were seen panic-buying ahead of yesterday's close, and this is what happens when you have a mass distraction lame stream media who's more interested in going after the current president of the United States, than reporting facts. 

This weeks False Narrative in Review

  • Tuesday's rug pull had more to do with the collapse of the Japanese bond market than anything else, but it's easier to just point at Trump, as the scapegoat. 

$JGBG.L iShares Japan Govt. Bonds - flash crashes on yet another Monday (technically Tuesday) morning surprise. 

Japanese Bonds

  • The Trump administration telegraphed what they were doing, by sending Bessant out on the Sunday shows. No mention of impending military action.  
  • There was no talk of a military invasion, until they reported - after the fact - that Trump said he was "ruling out military action". Keep in mind these are the same idiots who ignored the fact that European nations, including Germany, had already sent troops to Greenland.  😏


Looks Like a Repeat of The Kamala Crash - minus the negative reporting 

If you recall the August 2024 crash, which sent the $VIX skyrocketing to 60 - in premarket - was downplayed by the msm, but it did not fly under Trump's radar. 


That panic open was also attributable to Japan panic. I've covered this topic several times over the past year, so it should've been clear to anyone who's been paying attention. Read about : Japan and its weaponized yen/ carry trade [link]

Reminder: The August 2024 crash coincided with a volmageddon event on the $VIX covered 2 blogs ago [link], so this looks like nothing but another failed attempt to crash the market on more Trump's watch - motive: globalist don't like him - and when pulling the rug on the $SVXY (Leveraged $VIX Bear) didn't have the desired effect they decided to pull the rug on the Japanese bond market. 

Regardless; everything from Home Builders, to Biotech rallied into yesterday's close, and that's because the bears were seeing panic buying again. lol But there's still one sector that continues to be sold; the only sector that matters - Mag7     

Christmas May be in the Rearview but the Grinch is Still Working Overtime to Steal your Mag7 holdings, and your Christmas Bonus 

Same shit I predicted back in Nov.: 

 "they're loading the Truck" - at a discount [Link] 





I expect to see more consolidation, as the hedgies continue to load up on the tech shares investors gave up on months ago. 

Once they're finished dicking around with small caps they'll be forced to drive the only stocks that matter.   

Stocks to watch: NVIDIA, $MSFT, $AAPL   Same stocks I called out on Jan. 9th [link] 

I took advantage of yesterday's short covering rally to make an exit from my favorite 401k fund. As Warren Buffett says "You'll never go broke taking a profit". But I do plan to find re-entry once we see the weak hands shaken out.

However: If $NVDA NVIDIA can gain some traction here; I may have to re-assess... 
Nvidia Chart


Pre-market movers include most the aforementioned heavy weights including my personal favorite, Oracle, so I may have already missed the boat - with the market on its way to $SPX 7000+? Better to be safe than sorry. 


Good luck trading into the latest FOMO rally, 
AA 

P.S. See yesterday's warning not to chase European stocks [link]
I think you really don't want to chase the socialists in Europe 
$EZU Eurozone ETF - One word: bubblicious 



Tuesday, January 20, 2026

Greenland Escalation Hits the Tape Right After Options Exp

This morning's action confirms the bearish pattern I was seeing on the $SPX futures chart I tweeted out on Friday, and pinned to the top of my X home page. Futures deep in the red. 

The Catalyst - which just happened to kick off just as soon as Jan. Options Expired—classic Trump tariff retread to spook the algos. Coincidence? Was it also a coincidence when the Covid crash happened the day after OPEX? I'll let you decide. 

An escalation of tensions between NATO and the US over Greenland

1. European countries attempt to usurp US interest in Greenland - as a long time military stronghold - markets reacted with repeated breakouts on the $VIX.  

2. Trump announces 10% tariffs on eight nations Britain, Denmark, France, Finland, Germany, the Netherlands, Norway and Sweden, which go into effect Feb 1st. 

3. French president Macron - requests that the EU deploy its anti-coercion instrument, the bloc’s most powerful retaliatory tool originally designed for use against China. What a poser.

French President Emmanuel Macron - wearing blue aviator shades - calls for retaliatory ‘trade bazooka’ - (Yoan Valat/Reuters)

4.  Bessant was seen dialing back the rhetoric on Meet The Press - on Sunday - stating "Europe is too weak to defend Greenland from future threats". 

"Let me tell you what will happen, and it might not be next year, it might not be in five years, but down the road this fight for the Arctic is real," Bessent said. "We would keep our NATO guarantees and if there were an attack on Greenland from Russia, from some other area, we would get dragged in. So better now, peace through strength, make it part of the United States, and there will not be a conflict because the United States right now, we are the hottest country in the world, we are the strongest country in the world. The Europeans project weakness. The U.S. projects strength".  (thehill.com)

Wall Street Journal (used to be a reliable news source) Ramps Up The Fear Porn TLDR:

Wall Street Journal Flags A Dark Downside To Donald Trump’s Greenland Push

The newspaper's conservative editorial board pointed out the "sad irony" of the president's bid to seize the island. (huffpost.com)

Thursday, January 15, 2026

Bear Raids Intensify as Earnings Kick off - $VIX Spikes +18 (+13%)

$VIX broke out above the 50-day SMA yesterday in an apparent bear raid, as investors continued to hide in metals and energy stocks. Funny thing is: the $NYA (NYSE Composite) and Small Caps ended the day higher—so we’re right back to square one in these mixed (whac-a-mole) markets.

What Caused Yesterday's Limited Selling Panic?    

Same shit I called out back in Dec 2021 RE: The 'new market' triggering machine to buying/selling at the moving averages, and using the $SVXY to manipulate the $VIX [link]. Yesterday's bear raid? Textbook attempt at a Volmageddon-style replay. If you've been following me over the past 5 years, then you know exactly what I'm talking about. If not see:  A Tale of Volmageddon Feb, 18, 2022  

$SVXY Rug Pulled In An Attempt To Trigger Volmageddon  
$SVXY Visual Proof


 
What else they sell? Tech, Financials, Consumer discretionary Mag 7 (-1.5%) (rug pulled below the 50 day).  

What did they buy? The $VIX, Energy, Materials, Metals, Utilities, Real Estate, even Crude Oil, with the talking heads at CNBC ignoring the flash-crash I alerted to in the afternoon, and by yesterday evening they were seen declaring victory as, "Oil Hits 3 month high". Nitwhits  

The "Broadening Out" Market Narrative Faceplants in 2026

  • Energy the Fast Money Favorite Sector Rotation Trade  (on Iran fears)   
  • Metals, Miners, Materials, the same dash to hard assets (panic) trade we saw lead in 2025.
  • Stocks continue to under-perform as a whole  
  • Most sectors remain in a bubble 

Kicking Earnings Season Off With A Thud 

The same folks who encouraged you to chase financials into the end of the year, are eerily silent, and that speaks volumes. Trade The Market You Have Not The One You Want Those who didn't learn not to chase the banking sector in 2008, or 2023, are perhaps about to learn a very valuable lesson in 2026. 

Here's Something You Aren't Seeing On CNBC 

$TCOM Trip .com aka Tripcom - The latest victim of the, "stocks breakout to new all time highs narrative".   

$TCOM Visual Proof

You don't have to like the market you're trading to trade it effectively, but it certainly does take most the fun out of it. 

Bottom line: trade the market they give you, not the one you want. Don't buy breakouts—sell them. Don't allow animal instincts to cause you run off a cliff- chasing shiny things. The machines are still running the show. Yesterday was just another chapter in the new playbook I've been exposing since 2021.

Take Care, AA 

P.S. New Market Same as the Old Market: short-covering, blow-offs, rug-pulls below MAs, shiny distractions (silver pump anyone?). Today's action is just another chapter. I'll keep calling the games as they happen. Watch the 20-day, 50-day and 200-day levels—they're still the machines' favorite tripwires; even on the 15, and 60 min. charts. GL, AA 

Tuesday, January 13, 2026

Powell Under Investigation: Bank Stocks Tank

Powell Under Investigation⸺Bank Stocks Tank

Global Bank Overlords Declare Full Solidarity—Bank Stocks Recover 

Wall Street couldn't have planned this any better! The news cycle continues to snowball, with stories of an Iranian revolution, Trump now demanding that CC interest be lowered to 10%, and the latest zinger, 1 day before earnings season kicks of with - you got it - BANK EARNINGS  

And before Sunday evening futures were allowed to open, Powell had spun the story into a battle against Trump, even though there is no proof that Trump is questioning the Fed's "independence". 

Chapter Title: Central Banksters back Fed Chair Powell {insert eyeroll) 


Zombie Bank Stocks Tank Right on Cue 

Didn't I warn you not to invest in the crooked banks back in Dec. [Link] Exact Quote: Looks like stocks including the big banks, are clinging to a knifes edge

$XLF: NOT "On An Absolute Tear" (dismantling bloomberg lies). 1. Santa Rally, followed by a Rug Pull. 2. Key support at the previous low, which converges with the Sept. highs.  


$COF
Capital One flash crashes, tests the July levels; giving us a clear picture of what the great credit unwind is truly going to look like. 

This morning; the banks are bouncing off yesterday's lows, as the globalists banksters back Powell 

"The independence of central banks is a cornerstone of price, financial and economic stability blah blah.."  
The statement was signed by Christine Lagarde, head of the European Central Bank (ECB), and Andrew Bailey, the Bank of England chief (BOE), as well as central bank bosses from Sweden, Denmark, Switzerland, Australia, Canada, South Korea, and Brazil, alongside the chair and general managers of the Bank for International Settlements.


$JPM JPMorgan just missed - it's wildly overbought anyways  Read: 

JPMorgan’s CFO warns on credit-card rate proposal as earnings top expectations (MarketWatch) 


Continue to buy the dip, and especially this dip  

Take Care, AA 


Friday, January 9, 2026

Boomers Are Getting Rich While You Twiddle Your Thumbs

 Thought you were going to catch a monster rally in energy stocks, or overseas, China, Europe? Nope, turns out that story was just more smoke and mirrors. 


Speaking of Energy Crashing have you seen NatGas lately ooph! 

$UNG makes new all time lows. These young whipper snappers never learn 

4 likes on the tweet tells me the short side of the trade is crowded btw  

Boomers Are Getting Rich While You Twiddle Your Thumbs 

Where, you ask? The #1 boomer index in the world; where else..? 

$INDU (aka the Dow Jones Industrial Index) While you're twiddling your thumbs watching, waiting, for the Mag7 driven $SPX to out-perform The Dow continues to break out.    

$UDOW 3X Dow Bull ETF - it's faster 

Yesterdays Top Gainers -I think I have a Nike chart in my Junk Folder, if anybody's interested... but take a close look at #3 



@Grok What can you tell us about Sherwin-Williams leading the Dow? 
Answer: Sherwin-Williams (SHW) is a classic blue-chip addition to the Dow Jones Industrial Average, joining on November 8, 2024 (effective after the announcement in early November 2024), replacing Dow Inc. as part of S&P Dow Jones Indices' efforts to better represent the materials sector. This came alongside NVIDIA replacing Intel, modernizing the index for the current economy." 

Translation: Sherwin is leading the materials sector, and the $INDU, exactly as choreographed, over a year ago.
 
Chart - poised to breakout. The market doesn't care about your $SHW puts lol 

Other Names To Watch - The Top 3 Heavily Weighted Mag7 Names in the Dow
  • $NVDA Nvidia #1 AI leader 
  • $AAPL Apple - makes wearable smart stuff 
  • $MSFT Microsoft AI leader 

Those are precisely the 3 names CNBC Fast Money was seen trying to keep you away from, last night. Setting the bear trap for an early spring rally, much?  

#Dow50k