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Thursday, November 20, 2025

Tipsy Rally, Sober Reality


I absolutely nailed NVIDIA (post earnings) reaction 1000%, BUT I'm afraid that this so called, "market recovery", is not all it is cracked up to be. NVIDIA's 5% bounce on light after hours volume, is  like your ex boyfriend calling you at 3AM for a hookup. 

 The NVIDIA Twitter Storm 

 3.2k views is a contrarian indicator 


After nailing the direction on NVIDIA yesterday evening - yeah I often work late and that makes the difference... I also pay for 3 different software programs for the winning edge. What do you bring to the table?  

Bloomberg headlines claim that investors are soothed by the $NVDA print - more like lulled back to sleep, with the $VIX still trading well above 20. Tuesday's wake-up call [linked]   

The Bear Raids Continue 

$NDX (Big Tech) - classic bear bait 

 

 

Bitcoin Recovers only Slightly After Upbeat NVIDIA Earnings (Barron's)

If you were paying attention on Tuesday, you learned that Crypto is the barometer for Global liquidity [Link]  and anyone who continued to hold Bitcoin as it finally broke key support @ the 108k level is branded with the bag holder logo. 
 

 
 
The coveted 100k level was never support, it only provided the bull trap.  
 
Sue the SEC if you don't like the way Wall Street takes your money, they approved... 


 

Russell 2000 futures weak af - up .5% last I checked. That doesn't point to a recovery. 

 


That's It: I'm gutting the Public Charts Area; renaming it Mag7 on Death Watch [link] 

I'm also cutting short the window dressing series until we see evidence of institutional buying, and even then I'm 100% sure we're only looking at the beginning of the biggest global unwind in 100 years. 
 
Homework: Chart Europe and see where the real crisis is happening in real time.   
 
If not for EOY window dressing the rug would be pulled right here, but expect the perma-bear to TAKE the bear bait, before covering their short bets, once Nov. OPEX has passed.  
 
This holiday season please pass the gravy, don't be a Turkey 🦃
 
Take Care, AA  

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