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Friday, August 15, 2025

Healthcare Sector $UH Soars on Perfectly Timed Buffett Press Release + INTC $INTC "" August Options Expiration

Wrapping up the previous blog topic; 

Global Banking Collapse in Focus Chinese Equities Tencent $TME Chart

 ; see my chat with @GROK AI. 

 Although we did see Chinese stocks collapse at yesterday's open, the amount of debt on Evergrande's books is more manageable than it was at the height of the crisis in 2021.   

China will continue to provide stimulus measures, and even buy up bad mortgages, in order to kick the proverbial can down the road...  

INTEL (INTC

INTEL Stock soared late in the day on Thursday, on rumors that the government is considering taking a stake in the company. This comes just days after CNBC Fast Money recommended it, earlier in the week. 

Even @GROK agrees with my assessment of the INTEL $INTC rumor which was published late in the day on Thursday (1 day before August Options Expiration) looks highly suspicious. 

 

Healthcare stocks have been on a tear for the past 2 weeks. This was before the Buffet effect kicked in with yesterday's press release. Again, just in time for August expiration. 

$CURE 3X leveraged Heathcare Bull -  I saw this coming a mile away  

 


$CURE is up another 3% in pre-market trading 

 

 

The rest of the market looks pretty shaky, and I suspect the controllers have their sights set on 6500 (psychological target) on the $SPX. 

$NYSE -  You hear a lot about the market trading at new all time highs, and certain sectors are... but US equities as a whole remain stuck in a range, and the breadth is terrible.  




 Take care, AA  

 

Thursday, August 14, 2025

Global Banking Collapse in Focus Chinese Equities Tencent $TME Chart

 Yesterday I touched on the collapse of the 2nd largest real estate developer in China, Evergrande calling it "China's Lehman Bros. moment".

According to a recent business insider article: "Evergrande was 300 billion in debt, the most out of any company in the world". businessinsider.com

 That's enough to cover the entire debts of Vietnam ($144 billion), the Philippines ($118 billion), Cambodia ($22.4 billion), Laos ($10.2 billion) combined.


Out of Singapore China 

China’s property crisis hits new low with Evergrande delisting thestraightstimes.com

Evergrande’s downfall is by far the biggest in a crisis that dragged down China’s economic growth and spurred a record of distressed builders.
PHOTO: REUTERS

  "Evergrande’s downfall is by far the biggest in a crisis that dragged down China’s economic growth and spurred a record of distressed builders."

  •  Evergrande's debt is HK$350 billion, with liquidators deeming a holistic restructuring "out of reach"; asset realization has been "modest" at US$255 million.

Anyone who was following the Evergrande story back in 2021, when Evertgrande defaulted on their debt, remembers what a big deal it was, and what it did to Chinese equities

KWEB  (China Internet) destroyed in 2021

 


So why is there practically no coverage of what's going on in China today?    

I find it hilarious that the western media attempts to downplay Evergrande's collapse as an "awkward moment", and as I tweeted several times yesterday, the financial TV news has opted to avoid drawing any attention to the event at all. 

It was not listed as a top story by either CNBC, or Bloomberg. 

I watch a lot of financial news, and I didn't see it mentioned even once, In fact, CNBC Fast Money just last night was telling uninformed investors to invest in China, specifically $KWEB, and Tencent!  

I'm going to assume these people are compromised, and just doing what they're told. 

We all know what happened to pot stocks after they set the snare.  

$TME (Tencent) takes out my primary wave "(5)" target 

 


Tell the retail investor everything is fine. "All is well", and laugh all the way to the bank....   

Financial Collapse in Focus 

Back to the collapse of Evergrand and the possible contagion (fallout). 

The powers that be must be scared shitless, and the last time I can remember anything like this was when they failed to report on the Covid outbreak, as government insiders were allowed to quietly exit the market. 

 $DJUSFN US Financials mostly Banks - another sector CNBC (insiders) constantly recommend.... 


 

 Without giving away any downside targets, the chart shows several false breakouts, followed by a back-test of resistance. Tomorrow is august OPEX, so perhaps it continues to trade UNCH going into weekend, just as US equities did before Covid was reported (the Monday after Feb. 2020, OPEX)   

China to Offer Subsidized Personal Loans to Get People to Spend More breitbart.com  


 Perhaps this latest ditch effort will be enough to keep global markets from collapsing outright, but time will tell. 

In the meantime take care, AA  

 

 

 

Wednesday, August 13, 2025

Covering the Massive Rally In Small Caps, the Dow Jones, and China ($HSI), as Markets Breakout to New All Time Highs

 After watching stocks consolidate for nearly a month we finally saw a massive 3% move in Small Caps yesterday, which I alerted to at yesterday's opening bell.    

 

Here I am alerting to the bullish setup on the Russell 2000 (IWM), on Friday  

 And I'll bet you a nickle CNBC Fast Money missed the boat again.

Speaking of Fast Money, yesterday evening I called out their resident "chart master" for plagiarism, when I noticed him regurgitating the same chart that the gold bugs have been floating around for a week. 

To document: 

Of course the Dow is also rallying, as I predicted in Sunday's blog, and by the looks of it, this rally is just getting started!    

$UDOW (UltraPro 2X Dow Jones bull) the updated chart from Sunday's update below 

 

If you watch Bloomberg, you'll notice all they report is good news, on 

'hopes of a fed rate cut in Sept.", while avoiding the real China story.  

China's Lehman Bros. moment 

Evergrande delisting is awkward moment for China Reuters 

 Unfinished residential development by China Evergrande Group, in the outskirts of Shijiazhuang

I haven't seen Bloomberg TV mention this breaking story even once, and they've even updated their set in order to keep investors focused on nonsense. Smoke and mirrors.   

 Expect more smoke and mirrors, until the inevitable, comes into focus 

 

 Take care, AA


Tuesday, August 12, 2025

Covering the Recent Amazing Run in Pot Stocks Tilray $TLRY, and Apple

Funny, I was just blogging on this sector over the weekend - comparing it to the recent pump in gold miner stocks - and low and behold the entire space was up 20% yesterday!    

 

Trump weighs reclassifying marijuana as less dangerous drug, WSJ reports msn.com

 Of course pot stocks have been rallying since early July, and this story is old news, no doubt revived so that traders can offload their shares to retail investors.  

This isn't the first time we've seen the WSJ use their platform to manipulate markets. 

Grok AI confirms my due diligence:

 Tilray $TLRY - since Grok mentioned Tilray I decided to pull the chart from my junk folder, and have a look. Sure enough, it was up 40% yesterday, but as you can see, it only traded 9 cents higher than it did last week. 

If you're dumb enough to trade that junk, you'll want to keep an eye on the 200 day ma... lol

$AAPL was also recently driven above the 200 day moving average; triggering program buying.

  


That set up for a 4% Friday rally, but I can't say I like Apple at these levels.

 I think the market makers have become overly complacent driving the market using only a handful of stocks, and the short squeeze Friday's are wearing thin. 

Take care, AA