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Sunday, July 14, 2024

Reviewing Last Week's Superfecta BOX, as well as Saturday's Apparent Assassination Attempted on President Trump

 I don't know which is harder to believe; that I would get 4 calls right, in a single week, or that a would-be assassin would be able to slip past the Secret Service and other security - with a long gun - only for the alleged shooter to miss the perfect shot, from within 200 yards? 

Here's my first take on Saturday's events as details began to come out:

Here's my final conclusion reached before the Sunday shows even had a chance to covere it: 

Of course heads won't roll, because - just as most of what we see on television - this just looks like another - in a long string of - Psychological Operation (s) (aka #Psyop) designed in order to distract, and confuse populations. Just what the purpose of this event is, I will leave that up to your imaginationbut you can search my recent tweet history for some clues....   

Reviewing Last Week's Superfecta

What is a Superfecta Box. It's a Horse betting term for picking the top 4 winners, in any order. 

Last week's winning calls:

1. Tesla - called out as a sell (short)  
2. $YEN reversal - ahead of BOJ capitulation (intervention)  
3. Last weeks magnificent run in Small Caps 

An excerpt from that blog: 



4. And Finally: Friday's magnificent rally - this was after we saw the rug pulled on tech stocks the day before.... 

 

Dow rises more than 200 points, touches new record above 40,000: Live updates CNBC


That's all I got for today. 

Enjoy the rest of your weekend, 
AA 


Monday, July 8, 2024

Time to declare victory again - this time on 3X Leveraged $SOX Bull $SOXL

 Time to declare victory again - this time on 3X Leveraged $SOX Bull $SOXL  

This was another easy call, as it was opposite of what CNBC Fast Money was calling for: 

If you bought it at $52.50, and sold it at today's high (around $64) that's a gain of over 20%. 

The great contrarians at Fast Money also called for China to rally, back in June, and I made a killing selling that fleeting rally.


Speaking of bear markets: 

You never hear about the stealth bear market in Oil & Gas drillers, being reported.  

$XOP S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production - 60 min. chart. - 20% off the recent highs 

 


 That's all for now. Enjoy the summer break, while it lasts, because it's bound to be a crazy fall. 

Take care, AA  

Sunday, July 7, 2024

Twitter Sucks so bad; I'm - once again - thinking about Moving to Truth Social!

Twitter Sucks So Bad; I'm thinking about Moving to Truth Social 

You don't have to look very far into who's actually in charge of the new Twitter/ X platform; to figure out what the agenda is; political correctness in the name of "safety", over freedom of speech. 

That may sound innocent enough, until you find that words like "safety" are only code words for ever increasing political correctness that has permeated the internet.      

Elon Musk’s X has a new "safety leader", nine months after predecessor left the social media platform - ap 

 CEO Linda Yaccarino used to work for NBC, and Turner!  Source nypost 

And as if all this wasn't bad enough, even after paying for premium service on Twitter I can't seem to get any service regarding getting set up for a subscription service. Yes, I have valuable content to sell, but even after paying to get set up for a subscription service, and getting approved, not once, but twice, I'm not able to get any help, and I'm not the only one....

 30 min ago: 


Last I heard from Twitter support on June 28th: 

Hi there! We're a small team and are doing our best to review these applications in a timely manner. Once we have an update about your account, we'll reach out to you immediately. Thank you in advance for your patience! X Support Team

The final straw: A week or 2 ago - just before the first presidential debate - the algos on Twitter changed, and I began to be bombarded with content that can only be described as paid for by the Democrat party, and other content I have no interest in.  

I'm also being constantly bombarded by what can only be described as adult content.  


You'd think the AI would be smart enough to know, I'm not interested in singles ads, or internet whores, after being on the platform for nearly 15 years, but no....  

Truth Social 

To be honest Truth Social is slow. I mean it's really slow, and I only have a few followers over there,  but I think it may be better to tweet in a vacuum than be continually bombarded with crap.  

Market Update:  

I just got back from vacation last week, and seeing typical holiday trading...

Even so, I'm still able to find some profitable trades in an otherwise sideways market. 

Of course the lame stream media continues to point to new all time highs on the Nasdaq, and even the CNBC Fast Money crew had the nerve to point to new highs on the Nasdaq, on Friday. This after they chose to pump casino stocks, after calling a "bearish reversal". 

The Nasdaq, along with the rest of the hopelessly rigged tech sector can only manage to break out to new highs on very light holiday volume. 


I predicted these new highs and profited off them, so I can't complain... yet I'm irritated at the lack of credibility offered by the financial fake news. 

Most the broader market continues to be rigged higher, in order to help Joe Biden; I not only predicted this in 2023, but I've gone out of my way to explain the process... and continue to tweet on the subject:



After calling out several good trades including the major Top on Bitcoin, Silver, and Natural Gas, and more recently long trades in $SOXL, and Gold miners, I haven't received even so much as a thankyou, so I just don't see much interest by the trading community on Twitter/ X.

To give you some idea..: $BITI (the leveraged bitcoin bear) is up 25% since calling the reversal.     

Instead there seems to more interest in nonsensical tweets like the one embedded below, and the occasional 50% pop in a meme stock:   

To wrap things up

This is a horrible market to trade, in the traditional sense of the word, where traders of the $SPX have to wait 2 weeks for a 3 day rally, over a holiday.  

$SPX - breaks out to a slightly higher high, on super light holiday volume - Typical 



 I'm expecting a market correction as soon as August, or Sept, but not until small caps bounce back.  

After that I'd expect the market to rally into the election, only to be dumped on Donald Trump's watch, just as they did in 2020. 

In the meantime: If you can't find me on Twitter, you may find me on Truth Social @3XTraders 


Wednesday, May 29, 2024

Market Wrap-up May 2024

 Last time I blogged was in January, and not much has changed, when I wrote:  

  What's Wrong With This Market? A Picture Says 1000 Words!

Here's a 6 month view of the Russell 2000 treading water above the 50 day moving average, yet still trading in the same range that it was... 4 years ago. 


Of course the talking heads who work for the corporate owned lame stream media lie every day: 

These Fast Money clowns also lied, when they claimed that $SOX was leading... back around the time of the last correction - ahead of the Israel/ Gaza war. 

CNBC now makes the claim that they know where the market is headed over the summer, when they're obviously just reading a script; trying to sell memberships.  

The summer trade: Here’s how the S&P 500 fares between June and August—and which sectors stand out Link to paid content  Link to paid content  

The $VIX continues to be hammered, even when it looks like the WWIII ship has already left the harbor, and the networks pretend this is just business as usual.   

The truth is: we're almost half way through the trading year, and the Market Bulls have little to show for it. If you have a diversified portfolio that is.    

Sure, the Lame Stream Media will report new all time highs, as the retail short sellers are squeezed into yet another holiday - as we just saw - heading into Memorial Day - but nobody is making money in this flat market. 

I suppose this is why we see money being put to work in China, and Precious metals, even Silver.

MARKET UPDATE  

Last day of May is Friday, and that sets up for a market rebalancing - in June - ahead of the Summer break, and the end of the year.  

Lately we're seeing every rally sold, so I'd be looking for new leadership... but I'm not about to start making predictions, or giving away specific targets. 

One thing I can confirm is that everything I've blogged about over the past 2 years - about the market being dressed up in order to help Joe Biden look good, and Trump look stupid, seems to be set in stone. 

 President Joe Biden's campaign ripped presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump after the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a record 40,000. The Dow's milestone comes with Biden effectively tied nationally in the polls with Trump, as the former president faces trial in New York - May 16th 2024 CNBC