Comparing Today's Market To The Market Crashes of '08, & 2000

 Comparing Today's Market To The Crash of '08 & '00 

It seems like all I do lately is dispel rumors, and disinformation, so why should today be any different..?  

Just yesterday I was saying: One of my Top 5 Trading Tips is: Cutting through the BS: We are truly living in the age of deception, and it's not easy to remove yourself from that, when you're constantly being bombarded by fake news, and social media.

On Twitter 

2008 vs 2022 $SPY analog chart. Notice small bounce before huge leg down. Behaving like a giant algo simulation. pic.twitter.com/Mn9LCBDBki

— Ponzi Finance (@BP_Rising) October 3, 2022

On YouTube

I've even seen Glen Beck, try to make this ridiculous comparison, and I've cued up the youtube video below, so you can view it. 

  

I traded the '08 crash, and I've spent countless hours studying every aspect of it, and so I knew there was no comparison, before I even started comparing charts, but seeing is believing... 

The Timelines don't match 

First I attempted to overlay the 2 charts, but I didn't have much luck lining things up, and that's because the timelines don't match. I've mentioned this several times over the years, on Twitter, and on this blog; the crash of '08, actually started in '07, but the selling didn't accelerate until '08. That's a 2 year time period, and we're only 9 months into this selloff.  

$SPX overlay - 2008 crash in red. Current market in Blue. 

Market (in red) peaks out in October, of 07, whereas today's $SPX (in blue) peaked out around the end of 2021.  The following declines seem to match up pretty well - as far as the timeline for the first year - which I find rather interesting!  

We even see a retest of the lows in March, of 08, and Oct. 2022, respectively. That's funny because I've seen plenty of technicians, including even CNBC's. "Chart Master" (sense the sarcasm), Carter Worth, say, they don't believe in the double bottom target, when that's exactly what we saw in '08! 

 But Wait There's More! 

Although I wasn't actively trading in 2000, we see the exact same thing on the NASDAQ chart - a retest of the lows, or, as I like to call it, "the shakeout before the breakout"!  

$COMPQ - retest of the lows, at the 3227 level, followed by a tremendous summer rally, back above trend! Of course the selloff of 2000 was rather abrupt, and that's why everyone calls it the crash of 2000, but the market always bounces back pretty hard, after the first leg down, because everyone is still bullish, and so they buy it like they're buying the dip, as usual. It's not until the 3rd leg down that 90% of investors are wiped out!  

What this all likely means for today's market, is that even if we are in a bear market - which can't even be confirmed - we're just getting started, and way overdue for a massive rally.   

I'm really surprised at just how bearish everyone seems to be today, but I think we're living in a different time, with so much disinformation, and media saturation.   

There are also plenty of sharks in the water, so don't believe every chart you see on social media, or TV.

Take Care, AA  

The US Military Denies Any Involvement in the Bombing of Nord Stream II

 Picking up from yesterday:

US military says it was 'absolutely not involved' in Nord Stream pipeline leaks washintonexaminer

1st off, this pipe line doesn't just all of a sudden spring a "leak", and I'm sure the MIC (Military Industrial Complex) knows exactly who sabotaged this important piece of Russian infrastructure, BUT let's assume the above statement is technically correct. 

I suspect the US Military didn't have any direct involvement in 9/11, either, but there are probably a dozen - or so - other US agencies that could pull this type of false flag, with the help of Israel, or France, or whoever...?

I still suspect this was a pro-Nato Operation, and we have Joe Biden on tape telling us Nord Stream would "end", if Russia invaded Ukraine. At least we have some reporting on the ecological impact of yet another methane plume/ release.  

I'm a conservative, so I don't believe we should be butting our nose into every other part of the world, in a power grab for natural resources, but this is the world we live in, and trade in.    

Market Update 9/28/11 - Not Surprise By The "Sabotage" Of Nord Stream 2 - #FalseFlag

"Sabotage" is how the Nord Stream 2, story continues to be reported by the industrial media complex, but I'm going to offer you some indisputable proof, that yesterday's "sabotage", was indeed a false flag, and while I'm on the subject, did you know that building 7 wasn't even hit by an airliner on 9/11. 20 years late, most people still don't know that, because the truth scares them, and building 7 was intentionally left out of the official investigation...!  

A Structural Reevaluation of the Collapse of World Trade Center 7 - UAF Institute of Northern Engineering - University of Alaska Fairbanks 

As you probably know - if you've been following this blog for any length of time - I predicted a false flag earlier in the month. See the last few paragraphs of:  Market Update 9/15/22 - This Market Is In Trouble?

I'm not surprised by the Military Industrial Complex's bombing of Nord Stream 2; I'm only surprised it took so long! 

The motive for this false flag 

The real motive is for energy resources, which seems to be a common theme for most, US invasions, but this one also helps the Democrats in Nov. See the bots on twitter trending #BidenDeliversAGAIN

Feb, 7th - 

Biden Vows to "Bring and End" to Nord Stream 2 nbc 

Nord Stream 2 turning into Biden’s No. 1 problem Politico

Problem Solved! 

U.S. Blew Up Russian Gas Pipelines Nord Stream 1 & 2, Says Former Polish Defense Minister forbes 

Additional Proof is the excessive PUT buying we've seen, ahead of this false flag, and that shows that the big banks, and the money printers, were in on it! 

Nord Stream II, is obviously a #falseflag. The powers that be started selling the news last week. #NordStream2 $VIX pic.twitter.com/pPi7T95MWM

— Veteran Market Timer (@3Xtraders) September 27, 2022

The selling in US equities has been pretty orderly, but I still think were close to capitulation. I could say a lot more this, but I'm running short on time. 

I think this orderly selling rules out a wave E, and wave 3 has most certainly been ruled out, so my forecast hasn't changed.    

One more thing! 

I've been writing on this blog for over 10 years, and I was looking back as some old posts from 2010, and deleting most of them, but I found this one - dated Sat, July 26th, 2010 Re: Market Manipulation - where I documented the anomalies I was seeing in the market at that time, and I was reminded of this yesterday, when I was talking about the who is selling the DOW, and then later in the day, I noticed that the Wilshire 5000 was actually up, yesterday! 

Wilshire 5000 - Up 7% yesterday! How about that for an anomaly!?   

I could tell you what I think this means, but I'm out of time.

Watch for a sharp reversal today, at the $VIX target I pointed to yesterday. I can't guarantee we'll see that target taken out, but still looking for a reversal here, and I always find it, one way or another!  

BTW I wouldn't expect that to line to hold. Try $VIX 37...

— Veteran Market Timer (@3Xtraders) September 27, 2022

DONE! 

AA 

Booted Off Twitter Again

Booted Off Twitter Again 

I was booted off Twitter - again - after Friday's close, because I don't go along with every false narrative that's being pushed by the deep state, including the idea that everyone in God's creation should be given an experimental vaccine, to protect then from catching a virus that has a very small chance of killing otherwise healthy people. 

There is not only plenty of evidence that the vaccine isn't effective, but there is new evidence that the vaccine has done more harm than good! 

“More Harm Than Good:” Viral Canadian Covid Care Alliance Document Gives Disturbing Data on Pfizer Vaccines, Describes “Level 1 Harm”, Misrepresented Efficacy [VIDEO] newsrescue.com

Speaking of Pfizer, their stock has soared thanks to the pandemic, as has the Biotech sector, and the same people who promoted the funding into covid research, testing, and vaccines, may have benefited financially, but that's a topic for another day. 

$PFE - Pfizer stock soared with the pandemic, but now we see it consolidating, even as the WHO announces yet another global emergency - Monkey Pox (insert eye roll here)   

I think part of the reason I got booted off twitter, is because the corporate fascists are working hard to keep the false narrative alive, after (vaccinated and boosted) Joe Biden fell ill, after his recent super-spreader event in the middle east.  The internet has been scrubbed clean of Joe biden sick in Israel, but I managed to find 1 link. 

See: Biden Struggles Through Speech in Jerusalem: Coughing Fit, leaves Stage Confused... ... joemiller.us

What is becoming more and more apparent is that those who have been vaccinate are coming down with covid, while those who have not been vaccinate, are not, and there's a good reason for that, and it was Joe Biden's recent trip to the middle east, which really highlighted this point. 

Tucker correctly cites Yamamoto observation after 2 of them, the immune system is less responsive than the pure unjected with an intact and natural immune response. More evidence the products are backfiring and why so many regret taking them in the first place. @TuckerCarlson pic.twitter.com/sp8QuScvt0

— Peter McCullough, MD MPH (@P_McCulloughMD) July 22, 2022

What I learned on Friday, is that any information that contradicts the CDC, or any other government agency,  will not be tolerated on twitter! Believe what the CDC says, and shut up! Never mind the fact that this isn't the first time the federal government has experimented on it's own citizenry in the past. 

The most obvious cases of this that come to mind are: 

1.  Nuclear testing performed on US soldiers (forbes), and the same government who performed these tests claims that no harm was done...? Not sure I believe that.  

2.  Biological testing done on human populations   

How the U.S. Government Tested Biological Warfare on America (priceonomics.com)

3. The MK-ULTRA Experiments - during which, "Many unwitting subjects endured psychological torture ranging from electroshock to high doses of LSD" NPR 

Not to mention the toxic heavy metals being used in climate engineering programs.  

The Dimming, Full Length Climate Engineering Documentary geoengineeringwatch.org

And is it any wonder that website has been removed from the top results in google search?  

What's confusing to me, is that none of this vaccine pushing nonsense is even part of Twitter public policy, and not stated in their rules, and guidelines, but the fascists (the employees) at Twitter always march in lockstep with the brownshirts, and that makes Tony Allyn a target. 

If you think that sounds like a conspiracy theory, just look at how they silence everyone else they don't like: 

ALEX JONES SILENCED 

DONALD TRUMP SILENCED 

ROGER STONE SILENCED 

and countless others 

Not only am I regularly booted off the twitter platform, but I'm also shadow-banned, meaning the number of followers, is artificially controlled, and my tweets are suppressed, and I'm sure the same thing happens across the internet. 

While we're on the subject of Twitter, looking at the stock chart, I knew months ago the Elon Musk deal wouldn't go through, and now that they are suing him, for trying to back out of the deal, every shitlib in the media goes on the offensive, and the WSJ (which used to be a well respected publication) reports over the weekend, that Elon Musk may have had an affair? That doesn't sound like business news to me, but more like a smear campaign, after the Elon Musk deal is cancelled. 

Of course I saw this coming, as did many on Wall Street, and I even Tweeted  out - that the deal was dead - on the very day the deal was cancelled 

I told you months ago, the Twitter deal is DOA. The chart doesn't lie @elonmusk. Still, will probably bounce to the 47.50 level, one more time... #TwitterIs a sham company imo pic.twitter.com/eHlcKOms0D

— Veteran Market Timer (@3Xtraders) July 8, 2022

What do I mean by "Twitter is a sham company"? It's a tool, being used to control people, just as facebook, and google is... 

The Rise of Corporate-State Tyranny MAY 17, 2021

Look at the number of bots that are used to push whatever the false narrative - of the day - happens to be, whether it's BLM & George Floyd, to the latest mass murder (whenever it's committed with a gun), being used to try to take law-abiding peoples guns away. Look, once they take your guns away you'll be powerless... and that's the whole point of glorifying all these so called "mass shootings".  

I expect to be booted off the internet and permanently cancelled at some point, so being temporarily banned from Twitter is only a minor annoyance, and although I technically had to admit I was at fault in order to get my account back, I look at that as a little white lie.  

Joe Biden lied about the effectiveness of the covid vaccine and you don't see calls to banish him from twitter. Where are the "fact checkers", on this?  

Video of Biden Saying Vaccinations Prevent COVID Resurfaces After Infection newsweek 

Sooner or later the truth always comes out, and Twitter, and the rest of the tech tyranny, can't ban all of us.  

Thanks for reading, AA